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[NL20-NL50] NL 50 SH: AJs - TPTK on paired flop

    • Michailewic
      Joined: 28.04.2008 Posts: 1,418
      Full Tilt Poker, $0.25/0.50 Hold'em Cash Games, 6 Players
      Hand Converter by

      HERO (Button): $67.85
      mainetoaz (SB): $39.55
      4KA (BB): $105.05
      Gouster Gr (UTG): $117.50
      Skmidik (UTG+1): $77
      whuteva (CO): $117

      Dealt to HERO A:heart: J:diamond:

      (3 folds), HERO raises to $2, (1 folds), 4KA calls $1.50

      Flop: ($4.25) J:heart: 5:club: 5:diamond: (2 Players)
      4KA bets $4.25, HERO calls $4.25

      Turn: ($12.75) 7:heart: (2 Players)
      4KA bets $12.75, HERO calls $12.75

      River: ($38.25) 6:club: (2 Players)
      4KA bets $38.25, HERO calls $38.25

      Villain: 100/10; AF: 1,2; WTSD: 31, hands: 45

      Is it w/a w/b? Would you considered folding? His bet sizes did not make sense.
  • 5 replies
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      I don't think that I am folding to such calling station, maybe to the river bet, it looks kinda strong to me. But I guess I am also making the call.
    • Kruppe
      Joined: 20.02.2008 Posts: 2,145
      ^^ calling station doesn't mean he bets loose.

      i'd probably just fold river without having seen him make some big bluffs or stupif valuebets. no need to call such a huge bet imo.
    • Kaitz20
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      Because of his low af, I´d likely just fold on the turn
      He has there 5x a lot of times.
    • csnmf
      Joined: 22.11.2006 Posts: 444
      45 hands wouldn't say it's reliable for an AF stat but he is 100vpip so a 1.2 af is misleading its easily several times higher if he wasnt calling so much pre.

      Against a player with more normal preflop stats i would be more willing to call down as why would anyone donk out with a 5 here when a TAG is 100% cont betting on this board. Against a 100vpip player we obviously can't discount a 5, i think this hand is dependent on what you have seen him do before in the past 45 hands if he has done this before ill play it like you, if not ill just go meh and give him credit.

      On a side note i think with AA i call down even though AJ and AA are basically the same here.
    • Michailewic
      Joined: 28.04.2008 Posts: 1,418
      That was my thinking. Why would someone donk with 5x since it is very likely that I would c-bet this flop. And this donks usually play such hands passively and raise only on later streets.

      Moreover, fish will not make potsize bets with their stong hands (sometimes overbets) on such dry flop since they would scare their opponents. I put him on a bluff or weak jack. Still 45 hands are not so much.

      And I was right. And he showed 94o or something like that. What can I say... Thank you for your money, sir.