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SNG 6max 0.5€ KJs shove 14bb |3handed

    • Mayb3n0T
      Mayb3n0T
      Silver
      Joined: 03.01.2017 Posts: 572
      PokerStars - 60/120 Ante 15 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 3 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

      Hero (BB): 13.77 BB
      BTN: 24.25 BB (VPIP: 38.46, PFR: 22.22, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 68)
      SB: 36.98 BB (VPIP: 43.56, PFR: 21.43, 3Bet Preflop: 13.64, Hands: 109)

      3 players post ante of 0.13 BB, SB posts SB 0.5 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB

      Pre Flop: (pot: 1.87 BB) Hero has K:club: J:club:

      BTN calls 1 BB, SB calls 0.5 BB, Hero raises to 13.64 BB and is all-in, BTN calls 12.64 BB, fold

      I post this hand because i was analyzing shove ranges on bubble spots vs limp and this was for me a clear spot to shove, i was short stack, the pot has already 405 chips and i didn't had any read for limp calling with strong hands. But when i run on hcr putting some wide ranges around 35/40% (even consider that they could limp stronger hands like AA) and call around 11/12% which i could be sometimes wider, thinking they make mistakes this is barely breakeven. Am i making mistakes with the hcr or there are any factors that i'm not considering thought process?

      Cumps ;)
  • 2 replies
    • SDK1987
      SDK1987
      Moderator
      Moderator
      Joined: 12.11.2008 Posts: 39,580
      It's also good to know if you have reads on the BTN player.
      His stats looks not to fishy. Except his VPIP and PFR gap is to big.
      Read less I don't think a shove is to bad with in mind the chip difference between you and the BTN is more than 10bb and I expect you have a lot of fold equity here.

      Cheers,
      SDK1987
    • Mayb3n0T
      Mayb3n0T
      Silver
      Joined: 03.01.2017 Posts: 572
      I didn't had any reads on him, i never saw playing tricky. But considering that i'm short stack vs mid stack which give me a lower premium risk for me i thought that this should be more +ev than it really is.

      Cumps ;)