[NL2-NL10] AJo MP3

  • 8 replies
    • Jaissica
      Jaissica
      Bronze
      Joined: 10.02.2009 Posts: 1,385
      Fold PF? No way!

      This guy is not SSS (27 7), so almost certainly we are coinflipping at worst. We are calling $1.23 to win $2.38 with about 48% equity against expected villain range 22-99.
    • Fongie
      Fongie
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.12.2006 Posts: 4,978
      Umm sorry but expected range 22-99? You cant say that, because then you exclude AA-TT from his range, and I don't think he folds these.. :tongue:

      You could more like give him a range of AA-22, AK-AJ or something if you want, but you would still have the equity to call (you have 38%), so nh
    • radyan111
      radyan111
      Bronze
      Joined: 03.07.2008 Posts: 1,151
      I fold here, I call with JJ+, AK.
    • Jaissica
      Jaissica
      Bronze
      Joined: 10.02.2009 Posts: 1,385
      I say 22-99 because a player 27-7 (solid sample 142 hands) is clearly not playing SSS, he is playing scared-money-fish strategy :) Thats what I expect he has here. If he has AA well then too bad for me :)

      That shove could be absolutely anything at all, from Ax, Kxs, Qxs, connecting cards, suited connecting cards, pockets... no way can I find a fold against a live one's shove.
    • Fongie
      Fongie
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.12.2006 Posts: 4,978
      Originally posted by Jaissica
      I say 22-99 because a player 27-7 (solid sample 142 hands) is clearly not playing SSS, he is playing scared-money-fish strategy :) :
      Sure but you cannot equilate AJ against 22-99 when clearly he can have better hands aswell, you have to equilate the full range (which is why 48% against his range here is simply incorrect)
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      You get there 2:1 pot odds. Every time you get that odds, you have to call unless you´re sure that player would only shove there AA.
      Nh
    • TheBrood
      TheBrood
      Bronze
      Joined: 17.07.2008 Posts: 4,382
      Originally posted by Kaitz20
      You get there 2:1 pot odds. Every time you get that odds, you have to call unless you´re sure that player would only shove there AA.
      Nh
      thnx,

      Im not sure what you mean by call "unless you´re sure that player would only shove there AA". We can never be sure of this and I dont think he needs AA to beat me here.

      $1.23/$3.61 = 34% pot odds

      I used Equilator and if I put him on 7% range(PFR 7) I get like 37% equity and its fine to call but when I take in account that he is 4betting and put him on 4% range(aprox 4bet) I only get like 30% equity
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      Originally posted by TheBrood
      Originally posted by Kaitz20
      You get there 2:1 pot odds. Every time you get that odds, you have to call unless you´re sure that player would only shove there AA.
      Nh
      thnx,

      Im not sure what you mean by call "unless you´re sure that player would only shove there AA". We can never be sure of this and I dont think he needs AA to beat me here.

      $1.23/$3.61 = 34% pot odds

      I used Equilator and if I put him on 7% range(PFR 7) I get like 37% equity and its fine to call but when I take in account that he is 4betting and put him on 4% range(aprox 4bet) I only get like 30% equity
      I´ve calculated that way:
      pot: 0,1+0,5+1,73+0,10+0,05= 2,48
      you have to call: 1,23
      you get: 2,48:1,23= 2:1 pot odds, which means that you have to win at least 1:3= 33,3% times and you have that equity even against AK and KK.