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[NL2-NL10] FR - NL10 - JJ Postflop

    • value2k
      value2k
      Bronze
      Joined: 26.08.2007 Posts: 184
      Known players:
      Position:
      Stack
      Hero:
      $1,80
      BU:
      $3,32

      0,05/0,1 No-Limit Hold'em (9 handed)
      Hand recorder used for this poker hand: PokerStrategy Elephant 0.67 by www.pokerstrategy.com.

      Preflop: Hero is CO with J:diamond: , J:spade:
      5 folds, Hero raises to $0,40, BU calls $0,40, 2 folds.

      Flop: ($0,95) 7:diamond: , Q:heart: , 3:diamond: (2 players)
      Hero bets $0,60, BU calls $0,60.

      Turn: ($2,15) A:diamond: (2 players)
      Hero checks, BU bets $2,32 (All-In), Hero calls $0,80 (All-In), BU gets uncalled bet back.

      River: ($3,75) 3:heart: (1 players)


      Final Pot: $3,75

      I didn't hit the flop but bet 2/3 as a bluff, i got called so i thougth i'd play check/fold, but the ace changed my situation, now i had a flashdraw and the jacks, so my odds where 2.5 : 1, i had to call 0.80 on a 2.95 pot, so my pot odds are about 3.5 : 1, thats why i called. maybe i should discount my outs because another ace or an higher flushdraw on his hand would be pretty bad, but its still close, right?
      please help me to do the math :-)
      thanks alot, simon
  • 2 replies
    • burek2000
      burek2000
      Bronze
      Joined: 16.11.2007 Posts: 3,105
      According to the articles you should play draws aggressively when you're the preflop aggressor, so you hit a FD on the turn, +2 outs for J you have about 11 outs and therefore just shove turn first to act.

      About the math, if we presume you have 11 outs, you need ~23% equity.

      ...and your pot odds are 0.80 : 2.95 -> 1 : 3.69

      1 + 3.69 = 4.69 -> 100/4.69 = 21% equity needed.

      Here you see your equity is higher than needed equity and you can call as played.
    • Gerv
      Gerv
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678
      Hi value2k,

      I just second barrel all-in on the Turn with FD + 2outer to gain some ''fold equity'' rather than c/c.


      Best regards,
      Gerv