This site uses cookies to improve your browsing experience. By continuing to browse the website, you accept such cookies. For more details and to change your settings, see our Cookie Policy and Privacy Policy.

# [NL2-NL10] Nl100 KTs

• Bronze
Joined: 07.05.2008
No-Limit Hold'em, \$1.00 BB (8 handed) - Hold'em Manager Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

saw flop

CO (\$126)
Button (\$18.50)
SB (\$20.60)
Hero (BB) (\$18.50)
UTG (\$100)
UTG+1 (\$126.65)
MP1 (\$100)
MP2 (\$71.90)

Preflop: Hero is BB with 10, K
4 folds, CO bets \$3, 1 fold, SB calls \$2.50, Hero?

I see SB as pure dead money so I only have to worry about CO giving him a calling range of a funky 99+,AJs+,AQo+, my equity is 33.717%

Now solving
EV = FE*Current pot + (1-FE)*[(Current pot + Remaining stack)*Equity - (1-Equity)*Remaining stack]

EV = 66.3%*\$7 +33.7%*{{[\$7+\$17.5]*33.717%]] - \$17.5*(66.3%}}
EV = \$4.611 + 33.7%* { \$8.26 - \$11.6 }
EV = \$4.611 + -\$1.1255
EV = +\$3.5

Can I assume then that I'play +EV if I shove here without worrying SB? Is my calling range like decent since I only have <100 hands on him?

- Gerv
• 4 replies
• Bronze
Joined: 15.05.2007
Co will never fold over 50% here i think.
his stats look very loose

i calculate a more realistic scenario i think...
CO stealrange: 30%
foldequity: 50% -> he calls your squeeze with 15% [22+, A7s+, KJs+, A9o+, KJo+]

EV= 0,5*7\$ + 0,5*[(20\$* 0,38) - (0,62*17,5\$)
EV= + 1,88
• Bronze
Joined: 07.05.2008
So my mistake in the calculation was that I saw the FE as {1-equity} ??

So there can be lik 33% equity for me and 50% FE thus leaving 100%-83% = 17% doing ''nothing'' ?
• Bronze
Joined: 02.01.2007
I think there's a small mistake in your equation:

you count 7\$+17.5\$ = 24.5\$ as your possible postflop winnings. imo you just can win 18.5\$ from CO, 2.5BB from SB and 1BB from BB which is 22\$.
so you count something two times.

i use this one:
EV = Pot*Foldequity + (1-Foldequity)[(eff.Stack+Deadmoney)*Equity – (eff.Stack*(1-Equity))]

with:

pot: 7
eff. stack: 18.5
dm: 3.5
equity 33.7 and FE 66.3as you proposed. (

my EV = 3,01\$

regards,
xarry
• Basic
Joined: 11.07.2008
i dont think you have enough fe here or lets say it will never be massiv plus ev and 22 hands are no sample size.