[NL2-NL10] NL 10 FR: KK with two callers. second nutt flash draw on the flop

    • maya1984
      Joined: 18.12.2008 Posts: 1,741
      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy hand converter:

      Known players:

      $0.05/$0.1 No-Limit Hold'em (6 handed)

      Preflop: Hero is CO with K, K.
      MP2 raises to $0.4, MP3 folds, Hero raises to $1.2, BU calls $1.20, 2 folds, MP2 calls $0.80.

      Flop: ($3.75) 6, 4, 5 (3 players)
      MP2 checks, Hero bets $2.60, BU raises to $6, MP2 raises to $8.9, Hero raises to $13.05, BU calls $7.05.

      Turn: ($38.75) A (3 players)

      River: ($38.75) 9 (3 players)

      Final Pot: $38.75.

      I Shoved 10.5$ into a 23$ pot. Had 1:3.77 pot odds on the flop with one player to play. It turend out to be a 39$ pot so I actually had good odds when I shoved.(1:3)
      What do you think?
  • 3 replies
    • Fongie
      Joined: 02.12.2006 Posts: 4,978
      Hey Maya! Very interesting hand you got here, me and veriz discussed it for a while before coming to a conclusion :tongue:

      The key here is which hands we can put the villains on. Against 1 set and 1 made flush we are behind here and have to fold, but can we put them on those hands? BU cold calls a 3bet and MP2 raises pfr/calls 3bet.
      MP2 I suppose can have a set, since he's a midstack = fish, and as you know, fish don't have to think :tongue:

      The conclusion we came to was that most likely we are up against 1 set (mp2) and 1 overpair possibly with a spade redraw (TT+ from BU), and in that case then you make a +EV call here. So.. nice hand, well played!! =)
    • maya1984
      Joined: 18.12.2008 Posts: 1,741
      Well you almost got it right. MP2 had a set of sixes and the button did had an overpair with QQ. The surprising part he didn't had a spade.
      I did put one of these guys on a set. The hard decision was whether the other guy is holding the A of spade which means I almost drawing dead. (He might hold AQs)
      Did you calculated the EV or just estimated it? If you did calculate it I will be glad to see your calculation.
      Any how it turned out to be a big pot (for NL10... :=) ).
    • Fongie
      Joined: 02.12.2006 Posts: 4,978
      Ev(PUSH)= (21,25*0.36) - (10,45*0.59) = 7,65 - 6.1655 = 1.45

      Credit to veriz, it's his calculation (just copied off our skype chat) =)

      http://www.pokerstrategy.com/strategy/fixed-limit/1219/ this article is great :)