[NL2-NL10] Nl100 66

    • Gerv
      Gerv
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678
      No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (6 handed) - Hold'em Manager Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

      saw flop

      SB ($58.60)
      BB ($87.90)


      UTG ($61.30)
      MP ($21.85)
      CO ($106.55)
      Hero (Button) ($18.50)

      Preflop: Hero is Button with 6, 6
      BB calls $1, 3 folds, Hero bets $3, 1 fold, BB calls $2

      Flop: ($7) Q, A, A (2 players)
      BB bets $4, Hero?

      Push or Fold? I found his donkbet 40% the cutting edge to shove it although 77+, Qx, Ax beats me

      Thoughts?
  • 3 replies
    • burek2000
      burek2000
      Bronze
      Joined: 16.11.2007 Posts: 3,105
      I put his 26% BB calling range on this board into equilator and here's the result...

      Equity Win Tie Loss Hand
      Player 1: 72,050% 70,777% 2,546% 26,677% 55+, A2s+, K6s+, Q8s+, J8s+, T8s+, A7o+, K9o+, QTo+, JTo
      Player 2: 27,950% 26,677% 2,546% 70,777% 66

      66 is running really bad against his range, so unless you estimate you have a lot of FE I would fold.
    • mishuq
      mishuq
      Bronze
      Joined: 31.07.2008 Posts: 436
      Originally posted by burek2000
      66 is running really bad against his range, so unless you estimate you have a lot of FE I would fold.
      +1
      imo you must consider your hand can't improve so if he doesn't bluff/fold here, you lost it already

      I had lots of these PF raised 99 or smaller pocket pairs which ran into a dangerous flop donk bet, turned all sides upside down and tried to think and look at them from all aspects and from every perspective there is but came to the same conclusion: it's almost impossible to say there is a certain way to play it profitable every time..

      now that I look at this hand I'm thinking it's up to your reads and stats if you can raise to try and push him out of the hand with a straight draw or KQ or if you push to make the semi bluff. tomorrow I will have a different opinion :P

      I still don't now why I'm writing this as you're the judge and you definitely had a thousand times more hands like this than I did, but hope it helped somehow..
    • ysessa
      ysessa
      Basic
      Joined: 11.07.2008 Posts: 1,331
      i would also simply fold