[NL2-NL10] AQs SB NL5 190 BB deep FR

    • AutystycznyAndrzej
      AutystycznyAndrzej
      Gold
      Joined: 12.01.2009 Posts: 7,676
      After only 36 hands 8/8/5.0 (unk? :) ), no reads.
      I made mistake pf I should raise to about 1.25$ to not give odds for setmining. But what on flop? After my pf mistake I think he can have 22-QQ, AQs, AK. I think he will raise TT-QQ to see where he is at in this hand, 99, 77, 55 for value and maybe AQ, AKs to steal this pot... What do you think?

      P.S. Some players left just before this hand thats the reason why there is only 6 players in.

      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      $0.02/$0.05 No-Limit Hold'em (6 handed)

      Known players:
      SB(Hero):
      $9.76
      BB:
      $8.46
      MP2:
      $5.04
      MP3:
      $3.00
      CO:
      $5.00
      BU:
      $9.59

      Preflop: Hero is SB with Q, A.
      3 folds, BU raises to $0.25, Hero raises to $0.75, BB folds, BU calls $0.50.

      Flop: ($1.55) 9, 7, 5 (2 players)
      Hero bets $1.05, BU raises to $2.4, [COLOR=red]Hero ??[/color]
  • 4 replies
    • TheBrood
      TheBrood
      Bronze
      Joined: 17.07.2008 Posts: 4,383
      Your pf raise is fine.

      On flop I shove because:

      - Probability he has a set << Prob he has a pair.
      - Our shove generates very good FE while pot is small. Not nearly so much on turn if we call flop.
      - If he folds, it will probably be a better hand than ours.
      - If he calls with OP we have a very good chance to win.
      - Puts him in a very tough spot =)
      - If we call flop and miss turn, we are in a tough spot oop. Kind of like a sitting duck.
    • Dragar
      Dragar
      Bronze
      Joined: 09.09.2008 Posts: 2,214
      Like brood said.. insta shove :)

      Your ahead vs JJ and lower and any pair.
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello,

      Originally posted by TheBrood
      Your pf raise is fine.

      On flop I shove because:

      - Probability he has a set << Prob he has a pair.
      - Our shove generates very good FE while pot is small. Not nearly so much on turn if we call flop.
      - If he folds, it will probably be a better hand than ours.
      - If he calls with OP we have a very good chance to win.
      - Puts him in a very tough spot =)
      - If we call flop and miss turn, we are in a tough spot oop. Kind of like a sitting duck.
      +1, your preflop raise is correct. but you could bet a bit more on flop, ~$1.20 and try to get your money in. With your overcards and flushdraw you have a pretty good draw.

      Best regards,
      Rensu
    • AutystycznyAndrzej
      AutystycznyAndrzej
      Gold
      Joined: 12.01.2009 Posts: 7,676
      Originally posted by TheBrood
      Your pf raise is fine.
      I'm not sure. I gave him good odds to call with any PP.

      - If he folds, it will probably be a better hand than ours.


      I disagree.

      Hand 0: 49.040% 48.59% 00.45% 4329 40.50 { QQ-JJ }
      Hand 1: 50.960% 50.51% 00.45% 4500 40.50 { AhQh }

      I can't see "better" hand which fold here. Only QQ is better than my AQ. But of cors I have fold equity. ;)

      Hand 0: 53.485% 53.03% 00.45% 1575 13.50 { QQ }
      Hand 1: 46.515% 46.06% 00.45% 1368 13.50 { AhQh }

      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      $0.02/$0.05 No-Limit Hold'em (6 handed)

      Known players:
      SB(Hero):
      $9.76
      BB:
      $8.46
      MP2:
      $5.04
      MP3:
      $3.00
      CO:
      $5.00
      BU:
      $9.59

      Preflop: Hero is SB with Q, A.
      3 folds, BU raises to $0.25, Hero raises to $0.75, BB folds, BU calls $0.50.

      Flop: ($1.55) 9, 7, 5 (2 players)
      Hero bets $1.05, BU raises to $2.4, Hero raises to $9.01(All-In), BU calls $6.44.

      Turn: ($19.40) J (2 players)

      River: ($19.40) 4 (2 players)

      Final Pot: $19.40.

      Results follow (highlight to see):

      Hero shows high card ace (Qh Ah)
      BU shows three of a kind, fives (5d 5h)
      BU wins with three of a kind, fives (5d 5h).