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[NL20-NL50] QQ mp3 - avoiding trap?

    • TheBrood
      Joined: 17.07.2008 Posts: 4,383
      Known players:

      0.1/0.2 No-Limit Hold'em (8 handed)
      Hand recorder used for this poker hand: PokerStrategy Elephant 0.67 by

      Preflop: Hero is MP3 with Q:club: , Q:heart:
      UTG2 calls $0.20, 2 folds, Hero raises to $1.20, 4 folds, UTG2 calls $1.00.

      Flop: ($2.70) 7:club: , 6:heart: , T:spade: (2 players)
      UTG2 checks, Hero bets $2.00, UTG2 raises to $4.00, Hero calls $2.00.

      Turn: ($10.70) 9:diamond: (2 players)
      UTG2 bets $5.35, Hero folds.

      Final Pot: $16.05
  • 7 replies
    • Jaissica
      Joined: 10.02.2009 Posts: 1,385
      Dont know. I think id have stacked off on the flop. Villain is 44-2 so range is wide enough for that re-raise to not mean a whole lot. Villain looks nitty postflop but im not sure how much weight we can put on a 54 hand sample of postflop action.

      Probably best to decide based on visual read, such as checking past showdown hands. 24% of 54 means you should have 13 hands available in elephant to browse through and get a quick read from.
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779
      I also think this is a tough one... his play looks like a set, limp/calling preflop, all his mid pocket pairs hit the set/straight

      but he could easily be a noob as well with his 44/2 (and c/r with gutshot etc), i think ill go broke too on the flop
    • nttflox
      Joined: 25.10.2007 Posts: 673
      I'm getting it all-in on flop as well against this kind of player. They have a tendency to overplay top pair a lot.
    • TheBrood
      Joined: 17.07.2008 Posts: 4,383
      So his passiveness and hi W$SD don't suggest he has a good hand here?
    • Verre
      Joined: 24.02.2009 Posts: 708
      I feel like I'm saying this a lot in the forums today, but I'm stacking off on the flop. You most likely have the best of it and if you stacked him I'd say you are taking this pot at showdown or right away 4 times out of 5.

      To be honest these are the hands that tend to make me the most money (other than sets). People are overvaluing small hands and it gives you the perfect opportunity to stack them.

      That being said if you go to a turn like you did I'd be folding here too. Thats a horrible turn card for you.
    • Diedobal
      Joined: 07.10.2007 Posts: 558
      Originally posted by TheBrood
      So his passiveness and hi W$SD don't suggest he has a good hand here?
      You misinterpret his passiviness.

      You have to correlate AF to VPIP

      so 1.6 AF for 44 VPIP is close to 3 AF for 20 VPIP, which is not passive at all.

      Think I call all the way.
    • Kaitz20
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      calling flop/folding turn can´t be profitable
      Then I´d prefer bet/fold flop
      Or other option bet/call flop, call turn, evaluate on the river