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[NL20-NL50] NL50 SH AQo squeezing a 50BB stack

    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779
      Known players:

      0.25/0.5 No-Limit Hold'em (6 handed)
      Hand recorder used for this poker hand: PokerStrategy Elephant 0.67 by

      Preflop: Hero is BB with A:spade: , Q:club:
      MP2 folds, MP3 raises to $1.75, CO folds, BU calls $1.75, SB folds, Hero raises to $7.25, MP3 raises to $28.08 (All-In), BU folds, Hero calls $20.83.

      Flop: ($58.16) J:heart: , 5:spade: , 3:club:
      Turn: ($58.16) 5:diamond:
      River: ($58.16) 4:diamond: (1 players)

      Final Pot: $58.16

      Results follow (highlight to see):
      Hero shows a pair of fives (As Qc)
      MP3 shows a pair of fives (Ad Kd)

      MP3 wins with a pair of fives (Ad Kd)

      I shouldn't squeeze a half stack right?
      and I should call if i squeeze?
  • 3 replies
    • Jaissica
      Joined: 10.02.2009 Posts: 1,385
      You can squeeze here and your cards really dont matter, but calling was a waste of $20. Anything MP3 is shoving (22-10) has you smashed (QQ+, AKo+).

      You only hold 24.42% equity vs that range and called around 36% of the pot. You dont even have correct equity vs a loose shover here (TT+, AQo+ = 34.4%).

      If we estimate MP3 shoves here with 2.5% range (AKo+ QQ+) and folds the rest our squeeze is still okay. 25% of the time MP3 shoves and we lose $7.25, 75% of the time MP3 folds, BU folds and we pick up $4.25, meaning +EV $1.375 per squeeze right there.
    • thebigheizung85
      Joined: 12.08.2006 Posts: 195
      i would also squeeze and fold to the shove
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504

      Squeezing is fine here but I would rather prefer to fold to the shove, you are a way too often behind. Such opponent is holding here very often QQ+, AK against you are dominated.

      Best regards,