[NL2-NL10] NL100 AJo BB

    • mishuq
      Joined: 31.07.2008 Posts: 436
      $0.5/$1 No Limit Holdem
      7 players
      Converted at weaktight.com

      UTG Grogdish1 ($34.95)
      UTG+1 keanuRiver ($115.80)
      MP becks1874 ($146.05)
      CO Bart_Goor ($98.50)
      BTN JJGG7 ($42.50)
      SB Superbroggi ($98.00)
      BB Hero ($20.00)

      Pre-flop: ($1.50, 7 players) Hero is BB A:spade: J:diamond:
      4 folds, JJGG7 calls $1, Superbroggi raises to $4, Hero raises to $20, JJGG7 calls $19, Superbroggi raises to $44, JJGG7 calls $22.50

      Flop: 4:club: 3:diamond: K:club: ($106.50, 3 players)

      Turn: J:club: ($106.50, 3 players)

      River: 9:heart: ($106.50, 3 players)

      Final Pot: $106.50


      SB was playing 37/8 and BT is a 57/0.2 regular.
      thought about it and figured out that even tho my intentions were to isolate myself with the SB, I think if btn calls here I have better pot odds.

      AJo is for me pretty marginal hand even from BB, but I saw this as a good spot to push, basically because of my 2 opponents stats.

      I'd like to be sure if this was correct from maths point of view
  • 4 replies
    • DaPhunk
      Joined: 01.03.2008 Posts: 2,805
      Don't Post Results please. They Screw with my Head so I can't think of the correct answer to the hand so easily.

      If SB has an average PFR of 8 then maybe his SB Isolation range for this superloose BU limper could be the 15% required to push in this spot?

      I think I might err on the side of Caution here and 3bet 99+ AQ+
    • mishuq
      Joined: 31.07.2008 Posts: 436
      sorry, edited..

      Originally posted by DaPhunk
      I think I might err on the side of Caution here and 3bet 99+ AQ+
      I totally agree, if villains have just a bit better image I would perhaps go for TT+/AK+ isolation range, but they showed me no skills over 300 hands +
    • burek2000
      Joined: 16.11.2007 Posts: 3,105
      Hi mishuq,

      from "math point of view" that's a clear fold. Against 8 PFR you have only 39% equity and for isolating OOP people usually don't get too fancy and stay tight imo, so I wouldn't presume SB's range isn't much wider. Therefore I would push here AK(AQs)/TT+.

      If you however think SB might try to isolate(even OOP) with random hand, because BU is such a fish then you can shove.

      I would fold, because when passive players like SB start to raise, it's usually a strong hand, but I'm leaving this unjudged for another judge to have a look.

    • Gerv
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678
      I need to see WTSD stats to be completely sure. l/c% of BTN would also be awesome

      But as the way I see it, I push AJ+,88+ here because an Isolation Range (even though it is SB=OOP) is way looser than 8%

      Folding is okay but I think you miss opportunity here

      - Gerv