Originally posted by luitzen
Let's put villain on the following hand range:
set, overpair, FD, OESD and AK.
Then you have an EV of 66%. Even if you leave out OESD your equity is at least 60%.
I think bet on the flop is allright. I don't know about the size of the bet. The pot is smaller than a preflop bet would be. I think I would bet 4/5 bbs, but I don't know whether that is right.
On the turn: did he hit something? Set or straight? Or did he put you correctly on a FD and did he bet to screw up your odds?
On the flop I clearly have a monster with mid-pair, 1 OC and FD, so betting is right for sure and pot size is usually the right size and I would go also broke on the flop if I got a chance, but I'm more confused about turn...
Although I have a monster, there's only 1 street left and if I count all my outs(2 for trips, 3 for 2-pair and 9 for FD) I don't get the needed 32% equity I need. So, unless he's sometimes bluffing or raising draws I'm screwd. But my needed equity would change if I bet more on the turn. So, I'm not sure about turn.
And I cannot just tell you just whether he hit or bluffed, because then it would be just a bit too easy.