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[NL2-NL10] NL200, Q7s, freeplay

    • burek2000
      burek2000
      Bronze
      Joined: 16.11.2007 Posts: 3,105
      • 25.05.2009, 11:22
      • This post has been edited 1 time(s), it was last edited by burek2000: 25.05.2009 11:24.
      Known players:
      Position:
      Stack
      Hero:
      $43,90
      BU:
      $178,85

      1/2 No-Limit Hold'em (8 handed)
      Hand recorder used for this poker hand: PokerStrategy Elephant 0.67 by www.pokerstrategy.com.

      Preflop: Hero is BB with 7:diamond: , Q:diamond:
      5 folds, BU calls $2,00, SB folds, Hero checks.

      Flop: ($5,00) 2:diamond: , 9:diamond: , 7:club: (2 players)
      Hero bets $5,00, BU calls $5,00.

      Turn: ($15,00) T:heart: (2 players)
      Hero bets $9,00, BU raises to $42,00, Hero calls $27,90 (All-In), BU gets uncalled bet back.

      River: ($88,80) 5:club: (1 players)


      Final Pot: $88,80

      Flop is standard imo, but how do you play turn, bet/fold? I like bet/broke, but I have quite a big stack for that...

      EDIT: Should I have perhaps bet PS on the turn? Then going broke would be easy.
  • 4 replies
    • luitzen
      luitzen
      Bronze
      Joined: 03.04.2009 Posts: 664
      Let's put villain on the following hand range:

      set, overpair, FD, OESD and AK.

      Then you have an EV of 66%. Even if you leave out OESD your equity is at least 60%.

      I think bet on the flop is allright. I don't know about the size of the bet. The pot is smaller than a preflop bet would be. I think I would bet 4/5 bbs, but I don't know whether that is right.

      On the turn: did he hit something? Set or straight? Or did he put you correctly on a FD and did he bet to screw up your odds?
    • burek2000
      burek2000
      Bronze
      Joined: 16.11.2007 Posts: 3,105
      Originally posted by luitzen
      Let's put villain on the following hand range:

      set, overpair, FD, OESD and AK.

      Then you have an EV of 66%. Even if you leave out OESD your equity is at least 60%.

      I think bet on the flop is allright. I don't know about the size of the bet. The pot is smaller than a preflop bet would be. I think I would bet 4/5 bbs, but I don't know whether that is right.

      On the turn: did he hit something? Set or straight? Or did he put you correctly on a FD and did he bet to screw up your odds?
      On the flop I clearly have a monster with mid-pair, 1 OC and FD, so betting is right for sure and pot size is usually the right size and I would go also broke on the flop if I got a chance, but I'm more confused about turn...

      Although I have a monster, there's only 1 street left and if I count all my outs(2 for trips, 3 for 2-pair and 9 for FD) I don't get the needed 32% equity I need. So, unless he's sometimes bluffing or raising draws I'm screwd. But my needed equity would change if I bet more on the turn. So, I'm not sure about turn.

      And I cannot just tell you just whether he hit or bluffed, because then it would be just a bit too easy. :)
    • Padde
      Padde
      Bronze
      Joined: 25.05.2006 Posts: 1,060
      you need around 35% equity to go broke at the turn

      so flushdraw + trips outs are not enough.

      so you can fold it here against unknown.

      (I bet: 4$ flop, 10$ turn)
    • Gerv
      Gerv
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678
      Hi,

      You need 13 outs and I do not think if you hit 2pair or Trips, your hand will be good so I tend to muck this one mathematically speaking.

      Although I agree with Padde to bet like $11-$10 on the Turn ;)

      - Gerv