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[NL2-NL10] AK, nl100

    • Aimboy
      Joined: 03.06.2008 Posts: 11,940
      PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (7 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from

      saw flop

      MP2 ($129.45)
      CO ($20)
      Button ($160.70)
      Hero (SB) ($20)
      BB ($136.90)
      UTG ($97.50)
      MP1 ($74.60)

      Preflop: Hero is SB with ,
      UTG bets $3, MP1 calls $3, 3 folds, Hero raises to $20 (All-In), 3 folds

      Total pot: $10 | Rake: $0

      Recently I realised I have problems with folding AK and JJ hands preflop against quite tight oppoenents.

      Raiser was: 11/7 2,5k hands
      Coldcaller was: 45/21 with cc: 33%, 300 hands

      In this case I had this fishy coldcaller, so I think my push is quite easy, but what if there was no coldcaller? According to adv sss shc I should fold, do you fold then? ;u
  • 5 replies
    • PanDuzePE
      Joined: 12.12.2007 Posts: 5,467
      I think this is push because :

      AKo 52.771%

      88+, ATs+, KTs+, AQo+ 47.229%
    • Aimboy
      Joined: 03.06.2008 Posts: 11,940
      I don't have positional stats (I don't use them) so this is according to adv shc, pfr * 0,5 and then, without any dead money, situation looks like this:

      Equity Win Tie Loss Hand
      Player 1: 41,763% 38,751% 6,024% 55,226% AKo
      Player 2: 58,237% 55,226% 6,024% 38,751% 99+, AQs+

      I think I have to start using positional stats in my play.
    • sm112
      Joined: 14.10.2008 Posts: 213
      Definitely a squeeze shove in this situation, probably a fold without caller.
    • Padde
      Joined: 25.05.2006 Posts: 1,060
      Originally posted by sm112
      Definitely a squeeze shove in this situation, probably a fold without caller.
      same here.
    • burek2000
      Joined: 16.11.2007 Posts: 3,105
      Hey PanDuzePE,

      if UTG's stats are for EP only then you can push against 7PFR even without cold caller. Fold if he plays 11/7 average though, btw advanced SHC is based on average PFR, if you play with positional stats you can make more accurate reraises with decent sample size. Just play around with the equilator a little.

      As said before, with the fishy cold caller this is a squeeze. Nice hand.