[NL2-NL10] NL50 AKo

    • cyzo
      cyzo
      Bronze
      Joined: 19.07.2008 Posts: 117
      Villain donkbets flop 50% of the time.

      Should this have been an easy fold?

      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.50(BB) Replayer
      SB ($7)
      BB ($88.10)
      UTG ($84.70)
      Hero ($10)
      UTG+2 ($52.40)
      MP1 ($56.95)
      MP2 ($29.50)
      CO ($29.25)
      BTN ($51.75)

      Dealt to Hero K:club: A:diamond:

      fold, Hero raises to $2, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, SB calls $1.75, fold,

      FLOP ($4.50) T:heart: 4:club: 8:diamond:

      SB bets $5 (AI), Hero calls $5,
  • 4 replies
    • Aimboy
      Aimboy
      Bronze
      Joined: 03.06.2008 Posts: 11,940
      You need 34% equity to call here, but you don't have it vs any pair. Fold flop.

      "Villain donkbets flop 50% of the time." - after how many hands? 20?
    • Gafny
      Gafny
      Bronze
      Joined: 05.11.2008 Posts: 337
      pretty standard fold =)
    • dandycal
      dandycal
      Bronze
      Joined: 10.10.2008 Posts: 1,711
      As the others already said, it's a standard fold. For you to take into consideration his donkbet %, you need a large sample size.
    • burek2000
      burek2000
      Bronze
      Joined: 16.11.2007 Posts: 3,105
      Hey cyzo,

      as mentioned before, you have to look at your sample size, because without decent sample size donkbet is valueless. Besides from that you have to look at his cold calling range(or VPIP/PFR), because if he is a very tight player you can be still behind with AKo on this flop against his whole cold calling range.

      So, without any stronger reads/stats, I would fold this. Against any pair you don't have the equity to make a call here.

      Regards,
      burek2000