[NL2-NL10] A2o NL100 steal on BU

    • catleonet
      catleonet
      Bronze
      Joined: 13.11.2008 Posts: 34
      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      $0.5/$1 No-Limit Hold'em (9 handed)

      Known players:
      CO:
      $17.00
      BU(Hero):
      $20.00
      SB:
      $105.85
      BB:
      $135.45
      UTG1:
      $114.55
      UTG2:
      $120.85
      MP1:
      $104.75
      MP2:
      $100.00
      MP3:
      $34.25

      Preflop: Hero is BU with 2, A.
      6 folds, Hero raises to $3.5, SB calls $3.00, BB folds.

      Flop: ($8.00) A, 8, 3 (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $5.50, SB raises to $29, Hero calls $11.00(All-In).

      Turn: ($53.50) 9 (2 players)

      River: ($53.50) K (2 players)

      Some questions please:

      1. Is the steal reasonable? or simply fold will be better?
      2. On the flop, after SB raised cbet, I need 27% equity to call. Should I call or fold?
  • 7 replies
    • dandycal
      dandycal
      Bronze
      Joined: 10.10.2008 Posts: 1,711
      Hi Catleonet,

      Here again we need visible stats in order to evaluate.

      Best regards.
    • TheBrood
      TheBrood
      Bronze
      Joined: 17.07.2008 Posts: 4,383
      1. Its reasonable vs a reasonable player with a reasonable amount of hands played.
      2. I call since we have TP and we get good odds. He could be on a draw, bluff, lower pp; we could even hit a 2 on next streets and beat his higher kicker.
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,698
      1. Personally I don't steal with A2o unless both blinds are very tight and have close to 100% FTS.

      2. I would call although its somewhat marginal but once again stats would be a big help here. (foldtoCbet%, Flop AF, etc.)
    • catleonet
      catleonet
      Bronze
      Joined: 13.11.2008 Posts: 34
      Thanks for the replies.

      Only 17 hands with this villian, 47/12/6.
      My image is really tight even at BU, about only pfr=9 there.
      But since not many hand history, villian may not have observed that.
    • 2DHades
      2DHades
      Bronze
      Joined: 25.01.2008 Posts: 515
      Even if you have only 17 hands for him if his stats is 47/12/6 he is donk. I think the steal is reasonable and you should bet/call the flop especially versus him.
      And you should steal looser - 9PFR on BTN is too low.
    • DaPhunk
      DaPhunk
      Bronze
      Joined: 01.03.2008 Posts: 2,805
      This completely depends on villains F2CB% for me.

      If its high because he cc's so many hands then i steal assuming BB is tight. Otherwise I really dislike the steal. Why?

      If he fits one of the profile of one of the fishy villains who will go broke with us with any pair especially pockets It is more than likely we will miss the flop and not get a high enough fold equity to make a cbet bluff profitable.

      Against a loose guy who calls way too many cbets i prefer moving with A8+ KT+ QJ/T+ 66+ I absolutely dispise Ace Rag with no FE.
    • burek2000
      burek2000
      Bronze
      Joined: 16.11.2007 Posts: 3,105
      Hey catleonet,

      to make a steal profitable you need tight players on SB and BB, because if they're loose you need to play for value and not steal against them.

      Against unknown/fishy opponents I "steal"(openraise late) with range I would normally isolate a fishy opponent, like all broadways, A9+, A7s+, 55+.

      And against unknown/fish I am always going broke with TP in steal/resteal situations unless I have reads/stats to prove me otherwise. However, I wouldn't raise A2o preflop here.

      For any more details we'd need stats of the opponent with decent sample size.

      Regards,
      burek2000