[NL2-NL10] NL25 FR - A,Ts resteal

    • Tim64
      Tim64
      Black
      Joined: 02.11.2008 Posts: 7,697
      Known players:
      Position:
      Stack
      SB:
      $10.35
      Hero:
      $4.25
      BU:
      $24.57

      0.1/0.25 No-Limit Hold'em (9 handed)
      Hand recorder used for this poker hand: PokerStrategy Elephant 0.67 by www.pokerstrategy.com.

      Preflop: Hero is BB with A:club: , T:club:
      6 folds, BU raises to $1.00, SB calls $0.90, Hero raises to $4.25 (All-In), BU calls $3.25, SB raises to $7.50, BU raises to $10.75, SB calls $2.85 (All-In).

      Flop: ($25.35) K:heart: , 2:club: , J:diamond:
      Turn: ($25.35) K:spade:
      River: ($25.35) 6:heart: (3 players)


      Final Pot: $25.35

      I've asked a question earlier about number of hands for necessary for accurate ATS stat and hence resteal range. In this case villain has ATS of 50% after 170~ hands, which I think makes my resteal push +EV. Anyone out there think I'm being overoptimistic?

      Actually, just realised SB called the steal. Not sure whether that makes my push more or less +EV... ?(
      TIA,
      Tim
  • 2 replies
    • jupiterthegreat999
      jupiterthegreat999
      Bronze
      Joined: 15.03.2009 Posts: 64
      -ve EV when someone flat called. even might be giving one of them the odds to call. Presumably you lost this hand :P Trip Kings?
    • burek2000
      burek2000
      Bronze
      Joined: 16.11.2007 Posts: 3,105
      Hey Tim64,

      nice hand. :)

      I think for decent ATS you need ~500 hands. After 170 hands ATS could be good or not, so if you have the option it's best to look at the amount of hands on which ATS is based on(e.g. 2/4 or 20/40 for 50ATS) so you see you can rely on it or not.

      Without any additional info I treat SB as dead money here. Sometimes he might try to trap, but most of the time he will have to fold to your push. In case he traps it's mandatory to make a note of that.

      And of course ATs it's a push against 20+ ATS.

      Regards,
      burek2000