Hand of the Day - Part XV

    • Stefan1000
      Stefan1000
      Bronze
      Joined: 24.01.2006 Posts: 1,649
      Preflop: Hero is CO with J:heart: , T:club:
      [color:#666666]1 folds[/color], UTG+1 calls, [color:#666666]1 folds[/color], MP1 calls, [color:#666666]1 folds[/color], Hero calls, [color:#FF0000]BU raises[/color], [color:#666666]3 folds[/color], UTG+1 calls, MP1 calls, Hero calls.

      Flop: (9.47 SB) A:heart: , K:heart: , Q:heart: [color:#0000FF](4 players)[/color]
      UTG+1 checks, [color:#FF0000]MP1 bets[/color], Hero calls, BU calls, UTG+1 folds, MP1 calls.

      Turn: (7.73 BB) K:diamond: [color:#0000FF](3 players)[/color]
      MP1 checks, [color:#FF0000]Hero bets[/color], BU folds, MP1 calls

      River: (11.73 BB) T:heart: [color:#0000FF](2 players)[/color]
      MP1 checks, [color:#FF0000]Hero bets[/color], MP1 calls.
  • 4 replies
    • aciddrop
      aciddrop
      Bronze
      Joined: 08.10.2006 Posts: 1,519
      Well, firstly, there is something dodgy about the way this is recorded.

      UTG folds, UTG+2 folds, MP3 is skipped completely, then after BU raises, SB, BB and UTG (again!) fold.

      On the flop, MP1 opens the betting, then somehow calls again at the end without there being a raise in between.

      Aside from that, this is what I see.

      With BU raising preflop, AK is a possiblity for him. We flop the nut straight, and the nut flush draw. We are OOP, so do we launch into this as aggressively as possible? This is a monster hand. We are overwhelming favourite to win this. The only danger is BU having AK, AA or KK or QQ, and getting another A or K or Q for the FH, which is not such a long shot. We have no protection against that. We just call the bet, hoping that BU raises, so we can 3 bet or maybe call, waiting for the turn to really make them pay. BU doesn't raise, maybe he is worried about the FD, or maybe he is slowplaying his own strong hand. Who knows? The turn is the worst case scenario. We bet, and BU doesn't have any of the aforementioned hands, because he folds, so we bet the absolute nuts on the river.

      I think if BU had been playing any one of the premium hands, he would have had as many as 8 outs to the FH, giving him a strong hand, with a strong draw to the FH, which looked like being the nuts. We have no way to protect against that, so should attempt to make him pay. We should raise this flop, and cap if necessary. Worst case scenario, everyone folds behind, and we take down 10 bets at once. Not a bad result. Best case scenario, major betting takes place behind us, and we get BU raising, MP1 calling and we cap. Big pot, which we are still favourite to win.

      BU not having the hand was lucky for us. Getting the absolute was even luckier. We should have raised this flop, and shut down any further possibilities then and there, or padded our pot to the max against the possibility of redraws.

      As it is, we have no option but to bet the turn again here anyway, but against a reraise, we would feel very sick. Forget the river, it is all over by then.
    • aciddrop
      aciddrop
      Bronze
      Joined: 08.10.2006 Posts: 1,519
      Not only FH, now I think about it, also quads possible with this flop. We must be aggressive.
    • Stefan1000
      Stefan1000
      Bronze
      Joined: 24.01.2006 Posts: 1,649
      First of all we make a fine call after 2 limpers preflop.

      On the flop we have the nutstraight plus the nutflush draw. So it couldn't have get any better. The interesting part about this hand is definetly the flop.
      A lot of people would automatical raise here. But lets keep in mind what effect a raise would have here.

      We ould face BU and UTG with 2 bets to call. But actually we have the best possible hand at the moment. So our raise would be for protection. But actually we only need to protect against sets and 2pair. Hands that wouldn't fold here anyway.

      So we should go for value and collect some overcalls from single flush draws perhaps a mid pair or gutshots. The call here is the best we can do.

      We don't have to worry about another hearts. because it would give us the nut flush. So a raise would only kick out all weak hands. So just calling here is the best play to get more money into the pot.

      On the turn MP1 checks so a bet is a no-brainer here.
    • frzl
      frzl
      Bronze
      Joined: 25.04.2006 Posts: 9,876
      did you play that hand ? do you know what MP1 had ?

      if BU raises the flop and MP 1 3-bets, would you cap the flop ?