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[NL20-NL50] 86s

    • StraightGinn
      Joined: 19.10.2008 Posts: 913
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.50(BB) Replayer
      SB ($25.56)
      Hero ($50)
      UTG ($52.62)
      CO ($45.51)
      BTN ($16.75)

      Dealt to Hero 6:spade: 8:spade:

      fold, CO calls $0.50, BTN calls $0.50, SB calls $0.25, check,

      FLOP ($2) K:spade: 9:spade: 3:spade:

      check, Hero bets $1.90, CO calls $1.90, BTN folds, SB folds,

      TURN ($5.80) K:spade: 9:spade: 3:spade: 7:diamond:

      Hero bets $5.51, CO calls $5.51,

      RIVER ($16.82) K:spade: 9:spade: 3:spade: 7:diamond: 9:heart:

      Hero bets $10, CO raises to $25.50, Hero calls $15.50,

  • 3 replies
    • Volrath89
      Joined: 23.07.2008 Posts: 2,171
      With what cards could he call almost potsize bets on flop and turn?. For me, in an unraised pot, and with that board, only with A:spade: X, Q:spade: X, KJ:spade: , 9J:spade: , 3J:spade: , 99, 33 (pocket kings make no sense) and obv. with every completed flush too, but probably higher than yours, if it was a worse one, i think he'd have tried to protect it by raising somewhere.

      Now, with what hands is he raising that river? With A:spade: X, Q:spade: X, he can be pretty sure he is beaten, and would fold to your river bet most of the times. I think almost no one would bluff raise there.

      So, the only hands I think he'd raise there are 33, 77,99 (althought its very unlikely he has sevens or quads) and flushes. I'm not so sure if he would raise a worse flush, not even a better one now that the board is paired. The hands that fit villain line and beat you are very few, but still possible, I think this one is a fold (a thought one) on the river. Let's see what judges say =)
    • StraightGinn
      Joined: 19.10.2008 Posts: 913
      It took my my whole time bank to consider this call :)

      I was considering strictly polarized hand range:
      99 / 33 or bluffs

      I'm pretty sure nearly everyone would raise 99 / 33 on the flop / turn for protection so it looked more like like a bluff

      I thought about higher flush but it's so rare to meet flush vs flush so I'm excluding his higher flush from my consideration (if he would have it's no worries, happens from time to time)
    • Kaitz20
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      I think playr can sometimes shove there 9x, so I don´t think bet/call is there wrong getting quite good odds, although I think you´re often behind there