[NL2-NL10] NL200, KTs, BB

    • burek2000
      burek2000
      Bronze
      Joined: 16.11.2007 Posts: 3,105
      Known players:
      Position:
      Stack
      Hero:
      $34,00
      CO:
      $169,15
      BU:
      $157,45

      1/2 No-Limit Hold'em (8 handed)
      Hand recorder used for this poker hand: PokerStrategy Elephant 0.67 by www.pokerstrategy.com.

      Preflop: Hero is BB with K:diamond: , T:diamond:
      4 folds, CO raises to $4,00, BU calls $4,00, SB folds, Hero calls $2,00.

      Flop: ($13,00) 8:heart: , J:diamond: , K:heart: (3 players)
      Hero checks, CO bets $8,50, BU calls $8,50, Hero raises to $30,00 (All-In), CO folds, BU calls $21,50.

      Turn: ($81,50) 3:diamond:
      River: ($81,50) 6:club: (1 players)


      Final Pot: $81,50

      CO doesn't look so bad, but I play with positional stats and his LP PFR was 25 over those 47 hands. Therefore I found fold here too weak, specially against this minraise. I was deciding between calling and shoving preflop and decided to call with so good odds.

      On the flop I decided to c/r here because of CO's high AF.

      Btw, BU is a known fish, could also be seen from the stats.

      Any advice on this hand? Any better line? Maybe thoughts I overplayed my hand?
  • 2 replies
    • Aimboy
      Aimboy
      Bronze
      Joined: 03.06.2008 Posts: 11,940
      I think that you are depending on 47 hands stats too much. Anyway with his ATS = 33% (more hands would be nice, because he probably open raised from late pos. 2/6 times) and BU's (32/16, probably high coldcall) I would push preflop with KTs here.
    • Gerv
      Gerv
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678
      Hi Burek2k,

      I found squeezing more profitable then calling and playing this hand OOP with a marginal hand.

      Even though it is a minraise, if his callingrange is 50% of his ATS (PreflopRaiser) then you are playing break-even. If his calling range is <50% you are making profit guaranteed if fish folds (likely due 29 WTS)

      As played nice hand

      - Gerv