*Originally posted by luitzen*

*Originally posted by Faye6891*

*Originally posted by luitzen*

How come you're playing NL100 and you're still silver and how come you're playing NL100 and don't know how to calculate this yourself? Really, it's very simple maths.

How come you people love to criticise others just because he asked a simple question?

Have you realized that the OP could have just deposited his own money to play? Therefore he's using bankroll management but didn't started playing with just $50 like most people here? (And if he's not following BRM it's his problem and I couldn't care less)

And don't you realize that a lot of people don't know very simple maths!? And some of this math isn't really needed to play poker (although it certainly helps).

BTW, the odds above are slightly miscalculated, but since you're SO good at simple maths I'm sure you already noticed that right!? Then I'm gonna let you give him the right answer!

I didn't give my opinion, but I'm genuinely interested.

The way you put it looks more like an attack though.

*Originally posted by StjepanVG*

Odss for AA folowed by KK is the same as AA followed by 23 or any other two cards.

This two events are independent...

btw ... today.sng... QQ , next hand QQ.....

Actually no it isn't. The odds of being dealt 23 are greater than being dealt KK since you have more 23 combinations than KK combinations.

*Originally posted by Berkstajger*

*Originally posted by bugleboy*

It doesn't happen very often:

1/220 (AA) x 1/220 (AA) x 1/220 (KK) x 1/82 (Q10) x 1/220 (AA) = 1/192089920000

I should take a look at my high school math books for the precise formula, but you're missing one thing - these events have to happen exactly in this order which makes oddse even worse. In your case the calculation says 'just' what's the possibility of these events to happen, no matter what the order would be. I'm a bit rusty at the moment to come up with the right formula. I just thought I'd mention this since I should be studying at the moment and any excuse not to comes handy.

Actually I hadn't noticed that mistake.

But you're right, he's actually counting all the possible orders for the events to happen. If I'm not mistaken you'd have to divide it by 5! to find the odds of getting these events happenning in this exact order.

But the odds used are also wrong, what you have to use here for these calculations is 6/1326 = 1/221 instead of 1/220.

So the odds should be:

1/221 (AA) * 1/221 (AA) * 1/221 (KK) * 1/82.875 (QT) * 1/221 (AA) * 1/5! = 1/23,723,233,429,545

If I didn't make any mistakes, this should be it.

EDIT: As luitzen pointed out below, the calculations are wrong, you have to multiply it 5! to find the odds of these events ocurring in any order (or so I think).

So here are the right numbers: (I believe)

1/221 * 1/221 * 1/221 * 1/82.875 * 1/221 = 1/197,693,611,912.875