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[NL2-NL10] NL100-dblstk-str on flop-3 suited

    • WildBeans
      WildBeans
      Bronze
      Joined: 23.09.2008 Posts: 586
      villain is 34/13 with limpcall of 71%. and AF 1.9, and raise CB 12%

      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      $0.5/$1 No-Limit Hold'em (8 handed)

      Known players:
      MP1:
      $117.55
      MP2(Hero):
      $39.90
      MP3:
      $121.75
      CO:
      $21.50
      BU:
      $95.50
      SB:
      $103.80
      BB:
      $100.00
      UTG2:
      $124.50

      Preflop: Hero is MP2 with Q, A.
      UTG2 folds, MP1 calls $1.00, Hero raises to $4, 5 folds, MP1 calls $3.00.

      Flop: ($9.50) K, T, J (2 players)
      MP1 checks, Hero bets $7.00, MP1 raises to $52, Hero calls $28.90(All-In).

      Turn: ($97.40) A (2 players)

      River: ($97.40) 4 (2 players)

      Final Pot: $97.40.
  • 6 replies
    • Aimboy
      Aimboy
      Bronze
      Joined: 03.06.2008 Posts: 11,940
      That strong raise from villain, probably don't mean he already has a flush, he could that with 2 pairs, top pair, set to defend his hand. On that flop I would bet more, 10-11$ and after a raise -> all-in.
    • burek2000
      burek2000
      Bronze
      Joined: 16.11.2007 Posts: 3,105
      Hey WildBeans,

      there is no way I'm folding nutstraight here. It's HU pot and villain could have made the same play with 2-pair, set, FD against which you are favorite. Also, probability of villain hitting a flush on the flop is very small.

      Regards,
      burek2000
    • WildBeans
      WildBeans
      Bronze
      Joined: 23.09.2008 Posts: 586
      So the double stack doesn't really influence that decision too much.. Okay..
    • burek2000
      burek2000
      Bronze
      Joined: 16.11.2007 Posts: 3,105
      Double stack means you need more equity against the opponent, but with nutstraight you have enough against his whole check/raise range imo, which should be something like KJ/KT/JT/TT/SCs(3d4d-8d9d), maybe he also raises nut flushdraws which also contributes to your profit and maybe made nutflushes Adxd, but I don't think he wants to scare you away with that and will usually slowplay with c/c on the flop. For me this is (easy) push even with double stack, but I'll ask Gerv or another judge to have a look at this hand as well...

      Regards,
      burek2000
    • Gerv
      Gerv
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678
      Flopping Flushes is like <1% thus if u face a 1card FD u are 60% favourite.

      Since u now only got the option Push/Fold, definitly push! You beat every other holding

      - Gerv
    • WildBeans
      WildBeans
      Bronze
      Joined: 23.09.2008 Posts: 586
      I guess it's as simple as that. This unfortunately was one of those <1% cases.. losing a double stack isn't so nice.