[NL2-NL10] NL50 AQs pf push

    • dandycal
      dandycal
      Bronze
      Joined: 10.10.2008 Posts: 1,711
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.50(BB) Replayer
      SB ($60.95)
      Hero ($9.25)
      UTG ($58.85)
      UTG+1 ($55.35)
      UTG+2 ($55.65)
      MP1 ($19)
      MP2 ($67.05)
      CO ($49.25)
      BTN ($103)

      Dealt to Hero Q:diamond: A:diamond:

      fold, fold, fold, MP1 raises to $1.25, fold, CO calls $1.25, fold, SB calls $1, Hero ?

      MP1(21hands): 32/11
      CO(25hands): 16/8
      SB(153hands): 14/10

      Very few hands on opponents, still it's an easy push? Looking at re-raise charts we get a green light for AQs against MP1 (10%pfr).

      PS> Is there an easy way to post stats through HM or do I have to keep writing them down myself?
  • 3 replies
    • Aimboy
      Aimboy
      Bronze
      Joined: 03.06.2008 Posts: 11,940
      21 hands is completly nothing and you can't depend on them in making that decisions. I'd just fold here.
    • dandycal
      dandycal
      Bronze
      Joined: 10.10.2008 Posts: 1,711
      Originally posted by Aimboy
      21 hands is completly nothing and you can't depend on them in making that decisions. I'd just fold here.
      True, but how about the improved pot odds in this case, they add an edge to the situation? Although the other 2 don't seem to be at all very loose, so as you said, a fold might be the best case in such a dubious hand..
    • burek2000
      burek2000
      Bronze
      Joined: 16.11.2007 Posts: 3,105
      Hello dandycal,

      according to xarry you would need 30-100 hands for halfway accurate VPIP/PFR which you don't have and 11 PFR is very close to breaking even. However, the openraiser doesn't look like a solid player with VPIP>>PFR so I would lean towards pushing here, because of the dead money. You only need 43.8 equity, so I think you have it against this player with AQs.

      Regards,
      burek2000