[NL20-NL50] nl25 JJ SH easy spot

    • Nitrex11
      Joined: 30.12.2008 Posts: 139
      Known players:

      0,1/0,25 No-Limit Hold'em (6 handed)
      Hand recorder used for this poker hand: PokerStrategy Elephant 0.67 by www.pokerstrategy.com.

      Preflop: Hero is SB with J:club: , J:spade:
      MP2 folds, MP3 raises to $1,00, 2 folds, Hero raises to $3,25, BB folds, MP3 calls $2,25.

      Flop: ($6,75) 6:heart: , 7:spade: , 7:heart: (2 players)
      Hero bets $4,00, MP3 raises to $15,05 (All-In), Hero calls $11,05.

      Turn: ($36,85) 5:heart:
      River: ($36,85) 8:heart: (2 players)

      Final Pot: $36,85
  • 2 replies
    • MaestroOfZerg
      Joined: 17.11.2008 Posts: 5,510
      Tough to fold without reads as he could have worse overpairs or some kind of draws, but you're likely behind/flipping most of the time against somebody who knows what he's doing.

      Tags 3bet-calling range here include AQ+, 88+ and maybe some speculative hands, because they know you can be playing back light and they don't want you to fold your trash to a 4bet when they have you crushed preflop.

      The guy really has weird stats tho... 86 wts for a 21/17/2, even over 92 hands, wtf. He also doesn't rebuy, so i'd peg his taggish vpip/pfr for a coincidence, assume he is a fish, call it off and not overthink it too much.
    • BogdanDin7
      Joined: 29.04.2008 Posts: 1,114
      Looks like a tag player who is too passive postflop. However 92 hands isn`t much of a sample. But I can`t really fold here. There are still draws out there , overpairs you beat and given the fact that the boards is paired , it`s less likely he has a 7.

      Equity Win Tie Loss Hand
      Player 1: 44.813 % 44.813 % 0.000 % 55.187 % JsJc
      Player 2: 55.187 % 55.187 % 0.000 % 44.813 % QQ+, TT-66, AhKh, AhQh, AhJh, KhQh

      You need to call 11 for 25 so you only need like 30% equity. Easy call for me.