[NL20-NL50] AKo MP3 - 2pair on river

    • TheBrood
      TheBrood
      Bronze
      Joined: 17.07.2008 Posts: 4,383
      Known players:
      Position:
      Stack
      Hero:
      $24.66
      CO:
      $20.00

      0.1/0.2 No-Limit Hold'em (10 handed)
      Hand recorder used for this poker hand: PokerStrategy Elephant 0.67 by www.pokerstrategy.com.

      Preflop: Hero is MP3 with A:diamond: , K:spade:
      5 folds, Hero raises to $0.80, CO calls $0.80, 3 folds.

      Flop: ($1.90) 7:heart: , 9:heart: , T:diamond: (2 players)
      Hero bets $1.90, CO calls $1.90.

      Turn: ($5.70) A:spade: (2 players)
      Hero bets $3.40, CO calls $3.40.

      River: ($12.50) K:diamond: (2 players)
      Hero checks...

      Final Pot: $12.50

      I go for bluff induce on river
  • 6 replies
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      once he calls you on the turn, he doesn´t really bet river that often imo.
      So I think betting river is valueable than c/c or c/rai.
    • TheBrood
      TheBrood
      Bronze
      Joined: 17.07.2008 Posts: 4,383
      Originally posted by Kaitz20
      once he calls you on the turn, he doesn´t really bet river that often imo.
      why is that?
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      If he has any showdown hand, like Tx or any lower pair, he has no reason to bet, because he has now showdown value and that beat your bluff.
      If he wanted to bluff, then imo that board is perfict for that, so he should do that on the flop, rather than call flop, turn and then bluff on the river.
    • TheBrood
      TheBrood
      Bronze
      Joined: 17.07.2008 Posts: 4,383
      Originally posted by Kaitz20
      If he wanted to bluff, then imo that board is perfict for that, so he should do that on the flop, rather than call flop, turn and then bluff on the river.
      - Why is that flop perfect for a bluff? Its very drawy
      - If he calls flop and turn, he could bluff river with busted FD or SD
      - When you say that betting river is better, is it because you think he's bad enough to call with a T? His stats indicate otherwise.
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      Originally posted by TheBrood
      Originally posted by Kaitz20
      If he wanted to bluff, then imo that board is perfict for that, so he should do that on the flop, rather than call flop, turn and then bluff on the river.
      - Why is that flop perfect for a bluff? Its very drawy
      You answered yourself, since your range of openening pf is likely quite wide, then it is imo good board to raise with draws, since you can´t stand there too much heat. Fish could ofcourse may not think that way.

      - If he calls flop and turn, he could bluff river with busted FD or SD
      agree, but imo he won´t do that too often on that board

      - When you say that betting river is better, is it because you think he's bad enough to call with a T? His stats indicate otherwise.
      yeah, he´d likely would fold Tx on the river, but you can´t be sure that he hasn´t there Ax or Kx hand.

      But consider it all, if you think that he was drawing and would often bluff river, then c/rai or c/c is perfectly fine line to take there.
      I´d personally just bet, since imo when he calls turn, he would often call river (unless he was drawing, but you can´t be sure about that)
    • TheBrood
      TheBrood
      Bronze
      Joined: 17.07.2008 Posts: 4,383
      so you mean he might semi-bluff on flop. agreed.