[NL2-NL10] NL10SH, QQ, overpair to a drawy board, 3bet pot

    • Yuris125
      Yuris125
      Bronze
      Joined: 16.03.2009 Posts: 319
      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      Play hand

      $0.05/$0.1 No-Limit Hold'em (5 handed)

      Known players:
      BB:
      $22.22
      MP3:
      $9.95
      CO:
      $8.36
      BU:
      $10.35
      SB(Hero):
      $10.00

      Stats (VPIP/PFR/AF/Hands)
      BU - 27/23/2.2/144

      Preflop: Hero is SB with Q, Q.
      2 folds, BU raises to $0.4, Hero raises to $1.4, BB folds, BU calls $1.00.

      Flop: ($2.90) 8, 5, 2 (2 players)
      Hero bets $1.80, BU raises to $8.95(All-In), Hero calls $6.80(All-In).

      Turn: ($20.45) 4 (2 players)

      River: ($20.45) 4 (2 players)

      Final Pot: $20.45.

      Hi,
      I wonder whether calling on the flop was correct. Villain is rather aggressive, I thought he can push with a set, a draw, maybe with another overpair. The problem is that I'm a big dog against a set, and only a small favourite against a flushdraw with an A (even a small dog against A:spade: K:spade:) . I'm far ahead of worse pps only. So, would you call here?

      Thanks!
  • 3 replies
    • kosmonaut111
      kosmonaut111
      Bronze
      Joined: 26.01.2009 Posts: 715
      Had similar situation today, this cryes for call, but smells more like set. This raise/call3bet line preflop is very often small PP. It may be some "tricky" AA or KK also. Now I don´t expect players on this limit to shove with some weaker PP or draws. So fold is better I think.

      Equity Win Tie Loss Hand
      Player 1: 51,701% 48,083% 7,237% 44,680% 88+, 55, 22, AsKs, AsQs
      Player 2: 48,299% 44,680% 7,237% 48,083% QQ

      Against this range you get the odds, but when we remove 88, 99, TT, JJ, you are big underdog - 20 - 80.
    • 300warrior
      300warrior
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.12.2008 Posts: 39
      he shove with a Draw/TP. I'm going broke.
    • maya1984
      maya1984
      Bronze
      Joined: 18.12.2008 Posts: 1,741
      He can shove this board with combo draw, or even with a JJ.
      You are coin-flipping against his range here so it's an easy go broke.