[NL2-NL10] NL5 AA flush board

    • Paznecht
      Paznecht
      Bronze
      Joined: 05.01.2008 Posts: 78
      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      Play hand

      $0.02/$0.05 No-Limit Hold'em (6 handed)

      Known players:
      BB:
      $5.70
      MP2:
      $5.00
      MP3(Hero):
      $5.00
      CO:
      $4.20
      BU:
      $2.35
      SB:
      $4.95

      Preflop: Hero is MP3 with A, A.
      MP2 folds, Hero raises to $0.2, CO calls $0.20, 2 folds, BB calls $0.15.

      Flop: ($0.62) 4, J, 6 (3 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $0.50, CO calls $0.50, BB folds.

      Turn: ($1.62) 3 (2 players)
      Hero bets $1.00, CO calls $1.00.

      River: ($3.62) A (2 players)
      Hero ??

      The ace on the river doesn't actually help me, I know I am probably beat, but is it here +EV to invest 2,50$ to win 6,12$ (since villain has only 2,50$ left) if he bets?
  • 8 replies
    • michaelqian
      michaelqian
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.05.2009 Posts: 512
      I would just go all in on the river.

      I think most people on a flush draw would fold to your $1 bet on the turn.
    • Paznecht
      Paznecht
      Bronze
      Joined: 05.01.2008 Posts: 78
      Originally posted by michaelqian
      I would just go all in on the river.

      I think most people on a flush draw would fold to your $1 bet on the turn.
      I don't see anyone on the flush draw who will fold on completing here
    • kingdippy2008
      kingdippy2008
      Bronze
      Joined: 30.08.2008 Posts: 2,107
      I would shove it ;) You have a set, theres top pairs, 2 pairs and maybe lower sets that can pay you off - if he has the flush, i dont think much will change because if he shoves you will most likely call ;)

      -Jack
    • kosmonaut111
      kosmonaut111
      Bronze
      Joined: 26.01.2009 Posts: 715
      Here you dont fold in any case. Question here is to bet or not. Villain is quite pot commited but still will fold some weak hands, if you bet. If he is enough agressive, you may check and hope bet from him (maybe he tries to steal the pot here, with A and flush on board).

      Betting here is better I think.
    • Paznecht
      Paznecht
      Bronze
      Joined: 05.01.2008 Posts: 78
      I just don't think that TP, two pair or set would have been played this way (bad villain could), there's no protection from him. On such wet board I don't think I can see such line with these hands. And if I could, isn't it better to check/call the river since none of those hands will call a flushy river?
    • kosmonaut111
      kosmonaut111
      Bronze
      Joined: 26.01.2009 Posts: 715
      he may have AJ here that he wont fold, maybe some slowplayed :D sets.
      But check/call line seems to be OK. Dont know exactly which is better.
      But do you think your opponent believes you to have flush here ? your line represents more like TPTK or overpair.
      So I think either way you get nothing more from very weak hands, paid off from mediocre hands and lose pot to a flush or straight.
    • Paznecht
      Paznecht
      Bronze
      Joined: 05.01.2008 Posts: 78
      Originally posted by kosmonaut111
      he may have AJ here that he wont fold, maybe some slowplayed :D sets.
      But check/call line seems to be OK. Dont know exactly which is better.
      But do you think your opponent believes you to have flush here ? your line represents more like TPTK or overpair.
      So I think either way you get nothing more from very weak hands, paid off from mediocre hands and lose pot to a flush or straight.
      IMO less opponents will believe a flush when I c/c river than when I shove it there.
    • maya1984
      maya1984
      Bronze
      Joined: 18.12.2008 Posts: 1,741
      Originally posted by kingdippy2008
      I would shove it ;) You have a set, theres top pairs, 2 pairs and maybe lower sets that can pay you off - if he has the flush, i dont think much will change because if he shoves you will most likely call ;)
      +1

      bet more on the turn ~ 1.3$, and shove river.