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[NL20-NL50] Aa Sb - Op

    • TheBrood
      Joined: 17.07.2008 Posts: 4,383
      Known players:

      0.25/0.5 No-Limit Hold'em (9 handed)
      Hand recorder used for this poker hand: PokerStrategy Elephant 0.67 by

      Preflop: Hero is SB with A:heart: , A:spade:
      6 folds, BU raises to $1.75, Hero raises to $4.00, BB folds, BU calls $2.25.

      Flop: ($8.50) T:club: , 4:club: , 2:spade: (2 players)
      Hero bets $5.50, BU raises to $20.50, Hero raises to $47.03 (All-In), BU calls $26.53.

      Turn: ($102.56) J:heart:
      River: ($102.56) 8:diamond: (1 players)

      Final Pot: $102.56

      Fold to flop raise on dryish board?
  • 4 replies
    • HannesNL
      Joined: 18.11.2008 Posts: 4,590

      pf= superghey :P raise to $6 please.

      I won't go all-in on flop, since the raise is just superstrong, and looking to his stacksize, he probably isnt a f idiot by making such moves. Every thinking regular knows that min3-bet preflop is just the nuts.

      edit: Board is pretty drawheavy btw
    • alejandrosh
      Joined: 02.07.2008 Posts: 4,346
      29/14 doesn't seem like a supergood regular

      obv raise more preflop, it's almost a min3bet and you will be OOP. as played go broke in a drawy 3bet pot.
    • BogdanDin7
      Joined: 29.04.2008 Posts: 1,114
      Don`t do that againt preflop pls ;p

      As played it`s a very ugly spot on the flop. On a board like that I think he most likely has a set here. I don`t think he will do that with a draw that often nor with a tp kind of hand . His raise looks just looks so strong. I`m guessing QQ+ he would repop preflop , even JJ but let`s assume he might do that with and OP type of hand too.

      You don`t have any FE there so the equity you need there is 46%. Against what I think is a best case scenario there you have

      Equity Win Tie Loss Hand
      Player 1: 52.899 % 52.826 % 0.146 % 47.028 % JJ-TT, 44, 22, AcJc, Ac9c, Ac8c, JcTd
      Player 2: 47.101 % 47.028 % 0.146 % 52.826 % AsAh

      I`ve only put 3 random fd`s because I don`t think he will pull a that big of a raise there very often with a fd. Given the very low margin I think it gets 0 EV with rake . However you only have 87 hands on him and can`t really put him on a precise range here. I think I would call him down here. Call flop and c/c any turn just because I want to get an ideea on what he is capable of making such moves. I think in breakeven situations of EV it`s always better to go for it until you can make a good ideea on his play both for future situations and for table image.
    • Kaitz20
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      since you didn´t 3-bet larger pf I think he could opften have there set, so I´d likely just b/f flop
      bet/shove is fine, if he folds draw then you gain a lot of money and board is quite scary so if he decides to raise with one pair hand then he might check back turn and fold to river shove
      If you were 3-bet to 6$, then it would be a lot easier to bet/shove imo.