# Luck factor

• Bronze
Joined: 09.03.2009
I just was playng a session of FL SH and I had to quit at the 140 hand because I was loosing too much. (80Big blinds).

But when I've seen my elephant hands I found I didn't get anything higher than AKo in 140 hands.

AKs has a 1:331 odds

So 331/332*(220/221)^8 = 0.965.
Odds that I do not recibe a hand in this range are 3.5%.

Now 0.965^140=0.0074 = 0.74%.

So I wasn't as bad player as I thought. I just was getting some bad cards (I can't statistically prove it, may be I recibed 140 AKo .

The point is, first of all, that situation could be worse than a 1% bad beat to a player. Second, anybody knows something similar to a "luck analysis historial software".

Thanks in advance, and good luck
• 7 replies
• Bronze
Joined: 04.02.2008
[ ] sample size

There are 169 combinations of hands as far I know, so you could be lucky that actually got one of the top ones.

I'm not a FL player but sometimes you end up losing a lot with the big starting hands anyway. I'll go and have a look at how you played those hands that cost you so much and post them on the forum to see if you are making any mistakes post flop.

Cheers
Termi8r
• Bronze
Joined: 29.10.2007
[ ] luck factor
[x] fuck lactor

• Bronze
Joined: 09.09.2008
Your trying to use math to show that you should have gotten a hand???

1. Math is idiotic
2. Math is idiotic
3. MATH IS IDIOTIC

There we go.. all better now

P.S I am not flaming you, just wanted to put some humor since what you described happens to everyone all the time because poker hands are random and just because a certain hand should come xxx times in xxx hands does not mean it really has to come over a small sample size. Even in 1,000,000,000,000(insert as many 0s as you want) it will still not be precisely as math described it, just close to it.
• Bronze
Joined: 09.03.2009
Hi,
Thanks for the answers (even the "math is idiotic one"). Let my explain, I'm not sayng "oooh, poor me, I'm an unlucky guy..." who cares. I'm not telling "this room is rigged" or "the devil is behing that bad luck".

I'm already posting hands and so on, just want to know if there exists a tool able to calculate anything like luck factor (and not based only on starting hands). I'm just asking for a tool to improve my game, if someone knows it, I'll apreciate.

Thanks and good luck.
• Bronze
Joined: 28.03.2008
Hi Eco024,

Luck is random! The reason we use calculations for pot odds and drawing odds is to estimate profitabilty in the long run, which means over thousands and thousands of hands not just a couple of hundred hands. Be patient and you will receive some "luck".

Regards,
Sarah
• Platinum
Joined: 28.01.2008
I have seen "Luck factor" on one of the re-players! It is popopop's replayer! When you click on stats, you can see your "luck factor" compared to your hole cards!
• Bronze
Joined: 09.03.2009
Ok, that was just what I was looking for. Works for FL also? Thank you bah!