[NL2-NL10] nl10sh aq

    • gummybeared
      Joined: 01.11.2008 Posts: 138
      Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $0.10 BB (5 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

      MP ($11.58)
      Button ($10.10)
      SB ($23.26)
      BB ($9.72)
      Hero (UTG) ($12.78)

      Preflop: Hero is UTG with A, Q
      Hero bets $0.35, 2 folds, SB calls $0.30, 1 fold

      Flop: ($0.80) A, 4, 9 (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $0.50, SB raises to $2.30, Hero calls $1.80

      Turn: ($5.40) 8 (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero checks

      River: ($5.40) 6 (2 players)
      SB bets $20.61 (All-In), Hero folds

      Total pot: $5.40 | Rake: $0.36
  • 1 reply
    • MaestroOfZerg
      Joined: 17.11.2008 Posts: 5,510

      Against a complete unknown it's hard to say what he has exactly. His range is mostly the mortal nuts, or complete air.

      * For most bad players, this means they missed the double c/r on the turn and they are trying to make up for it by betting the river big. They usually just pot it tho. From here you need to think about what this player would consider as "the nuts" in that spot. Does he think any A is good enough to play for stacks ? Or would he only do that with a set ?

      * On the bluff side, what air could he possibly have here ? There weren't any strong draws to semibluff with on the flop, so that would imply he was planning a multistreet pure bluff from the beginning. Hard to believe at nl10 unless you've seen that guy go crazy beforehand. You can't really give an unknown credit for overbetting 2x pot with air figuring your hand can't stand much heat in that spot. Even if you could, you would have to be right very often to make calling here profitable.

      Overall, you can't be sure he is capable of making that bluff, and if he is doing that for value, you can't be sure you're even ahead either. I'd err on the side of caution and fold the river too, and watch out for similar moves from that player in the future.

      Hope it helps.