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[NL2-NL10] NL100 77 3betting loose utg raiser

    • Tim64
      Joined: 02.11.2008 Posts: 8,028
      Known players:

      0.5/1 No-Limit Hold'em (10 handed)
      Hand recorder used for this poker hand: PokerStrategy Elephant 0.67 by

      Preflop: Hero is MP3 with 7:heart: , 7:diamond: . CO posts a blind of $1.50.
      UTG folds, UTG1 raises to $5.00, 3 folds, Hero raises to $15.00 (All-In), 2 folds, SB raises to $30.00, 2 folds.

      Flop: ($52.50) 7:spade: , T:diamond: , 9:heart:
      Turn: ($52.50) Q:heart:
      River: ($52.50) Q:spade: (2 players)

      Final Pot: $52.50

      For some reason I felt happier doing this move with a smaller stack, but the more I look at it, the more I don't like it. SB woke up with a monster, for one thing, but the main problem I have with my play is not knowing how much tighter a 17% pfr player will be on average utg (esp given small sample). The fact he folds to SB's 4bet indicates he does raise ep with marginal hands. If that's the case, is my move ever alright?
  • 3 replies
    • dandycal
      Joined: 10.10.2008 Posts: 1,711
      Tim, even if he was opening 17% from UTG, you can't profitably 3 bet with 77. In the adjusted re-raising chart you'll see that against an 18% utg pfr we olny 3 bet TT+, 99 from the blinds.

      So this is a certain fold imo and I'd be happy saving some money ;)
    • DaPhunk
      Joined: 01.03.2008 Posts: 2,805
      Positional stats are useful, he's probably raising 8% of his range. Easy fold.
    • burek2000
      Joined: 16.11.2007 Posts: 3,105
      Hey Tim64,

      if you put 77 against 17 PFR into the equilator you will see you don't have the necessary equity against him and with the fact he's raising UTG tighter than average, you see you have an easy muck with 77.

      I also think villain's range will be ~8%, but positional stats are always welcome. However for average adjusted reraises it's best to stick to the charts from the gold section and push according to them, when you don't have big enough sample size.

      Your push might get profitable if opponent was folding lots of hands, but no half decent opponent will fold enough to make pushing 77 here profitable.