[NL2-NL10] NL50 freeplay QJ

    • dandycal
      dandycal
      Bronze
      Joined: 10.10.2008 Posts: 1,711
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.50(BB) Replayer
      Hero ($8.75)
      BB ($80.74)
      UTG ($7.22)
      UTG+1 ($10)
      UTG+2 ($9)
      MP1 ($57.73)
      MP2 ($17.03)
      CO ($9.75)
      BTN ($18.80)

      Dealt to Hero J:club: Q:heart:

      fold, fold, fold, MP1 calls $0.50, MP2 calls $0.50, fold, fold, Hero calls $0.25, BB checks

      FLOP ($2) Q:spade: 9:spade: 7:spade:

      Hero checks, BB bets $1.90, MP1 folds, MP2 folds, Hero raises to $8.25 (AI), BB calls $6.35

      Villain is 41/16, 2.6 AF, 90 hands


      On the spot somehow this seemed like a good move to me, but now I see I'm either way behind or I am flipping.

      However, if I lead out betting I can get a better idea of where I stand. If I get re-raised I can surely fold becuase I'm beat, if I get called I can valuebet a draw on an harmless turn. Any thoughts on this second possibility?
  • 4 replies
    • DaPhunk
      DaPhunk
      Bronze
      Joined: 01.03.2008 Posts: 2,805
      Why do you think you're often way behind?
    • RahXephon1
      RahXephon1
      Bronze
      Joined: 14.04.2009 Posts: 972
      I would bet 1,25(1,50) on the flop. With this bet you can push out some weaker draws and maybe get some PP or MP to call. I dont believe he wouldn't raise with AQ KQ preflop. I don't know what is the ideal play if he raises. If he calls and turn is blank I would raise again.
    • dandycal
      dandycal
      Bronze
      Joined: 10.10.2008 Posts: 1,711
      @Daphunk: Well, villain is betting oop into 3 people on a very drawy board, so I give him some credit. Pair+Fd, OESD+FD, 2pair+ that he'd need to protect, perhaps even a made straight. Wouldn't you say so?

      @RaXephon: I also like the idea of leading out with a bet on this flop, and evalutaing turn. But probably folding to a re-raise.
    • Gerv
      Gerv
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678
      I do not c/rai here, I c/c and evaluate the Turn imo. If someone shows interests you definitly know for sure (on a monoboard) he doesn't stab the pot imo.

      With c/c, you also can safely fold to a 4th and decrease their winning % by taking 1 street away from them => lower variance

      - Gerv