[NL20-NL50] NL50: straight, riverdecision

    • Zeffke
      Zeffke
      Bronze
      Joined: 17.04.2007 Posts: 1,123
      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      Play hand

      $0.25/$0.5 No-Limit Hold'em (5 handed)

      Known players:
      MP3:
      $50.00
      CO:
      $68.70
      BU(Hero):
      $58.10
      SB:
      $54.30
      BB:
      $62.90

      Preflop: Hero is BU with 6, 5.
      MP3 raises to $2, CO folds, Hero calls $2.00, 2 folds.

      Flop: ($4.75) 8, A, 7 (2 players)
      MP3 bets $4.00, Hero calls $4.00.

      Turn: ($12.75) 4 (2 players)
      MP3 checks, Hero bets $10.00, MP3 calls $10.00.

      River: ($32.75) 4 (2 players)
      MP3 bets $34.00(All-In), Hero folds, MP3 gets uncalled bet back.

      Final Pot: $32.75.


      Villain is 13/9/inf over 64 hands , wtsd=17
      Easy fold?

      If he checks, can I bet for value? And if I bet I can't fold to a check/raise anymore I guess?
  • 3 replies
    • MaestroOfZerg
      MaestroOfZerg
      Bronze
      Joined: 17.11.2008 Posts: 5,510
      Hi,


      That guy is bad no matter what he has here. He might have a flush figuring you can't have a set because you didn't raise the flop, which would explain (in his mind) the river donk shove. Tho his line looks like a flopped set that got spooked by the flush getting there on the turn. After taking a passive c/c c/f line he boated up on the river and is now afraid you'll check behind with whatever you have, which you should indeed with your straight.

      I don't think you're gonna get a call from worse hands very often on that river when he checks. Maybe TPTK that peeled with a diamond if you make it really cheap or if he doesn't believe you for some reason (history?) in which case you can probably make it bigger to sell the bluff. But unless you believe that this guy will desperately cling to his top pair for whatever reason, i don't recommend it, it's too thin against a tight unknown.


      Hope it helps.
    • Diedobal
      Diedobal
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.10.2007 Posts: 558
      Range of 13/9 to c/c turn: AK, with A or K of diamonds. AA/88/77.

      Rivers sucks, and your beat 95% of the time here. But even if the river blanked, I don't know if there is much value to get vs an ubernit on this board. Would never bet more then 1/3 pot there.
    • Zeffke
      Zeffke
      Bronze
      Joined: 17.04.2007 Posts: 1,123
      Thanks every comment helps ;) and congrats on your diamond status diedobal ;)