[NL20-NL50] Huge pot, Gutshot/Flushdraw All-In

    • Joshquan
      Joshquan
      Bronze
      Joined: 01.01.2009 Posts: 479
      Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $0.25 BB (5 handed) - Party-Poker Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

      MP ($46.83)
      SB ($25)
      Hero (UTG) ($39.26)
      BB ($23.44)
      Button ($30.49)

      Preflop: Hero is UTG with A, J
      Hero bets $1, MP calls $1, 1 fold, SB calls $0.90, 1 fold

      Flop: ($3.25) 3, 5, 4 (3 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $2.31, MP raises $10.02, 1 fold, Hero raises to $38.26 (All-In), MP calls $28.24

      Turn: ($79.77) 6 (2 players, 1 all-in)

      River: ($79.77) 10 (2 players, 1 all-in)

      Total pot: $79.77


      This is really bad play right? Just Bet/Call the flop?
  • 2 replies
    • DaPhunk
      DaPhunk
      Bronze
      Joined: 01.03.2008 Posts: 2,805
      I actually semibluff shove this as well to maximise my Equity and FE too, or is the board dangerous enough for us to only call and play for flush outs?

      What would he raise flop with OESD with? The 3 or 6. Set, two-pair, some sort of air or overpair?

      Raising the made straight here is possible for protection against the flush is possible I guess, but I'm still thinking he's only raising set or two-pair on this board, he'd rather just call an FD or Overpair right, maybe Overpair is good hand for him to raise to protect also?
    • MaestroOfZerg
      MaestroOfZerg
      Bronze
      Joined: 17.11.2008 Posts: 5,510
      Hi,


      He isn't rebuying so he probably isn't too bright, you can likely assume he's overplaying some overpairs as well as 65s/32s/33/66 for OESDs+pairs, maybe even lower flushdraws.

      Given that, you are like flipping with a range of { TT-22, A2s, KdQd, Td9d, 76s, 65s, 54s, 43s, 32s, A2o }, and even if he only calls the shove with sets+straights, you still have around 33% equity, which together with the times you win the dead money uncontested makes it profitable to shove in that spot almost no matter what, as long as you aren't variance-averse and can safely assume that your opponent isn't just doing that with sets and straights.


      Hope it helps.