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[NL2-NL10] NL100 ATo squeeeze

    • Tim64
      Joined: 02.11.2008 Posts: 8,028
      Known players:

      0.5/1 No-Limit Hold'em (10 handed)
      Hand recorder used for this poker hand: PokerStrategy Elephant 0.67 by

      Preflop: Hero is SB with A:spade: , T:heart:
      2 folds, UTG2 raises to $3.50, 2 folds, MP3 calls $3.50, 2 folds, Hero raises to $19.00 (All-In), 2 folds, MP3 calls $15.50.

      Flop: ($42.50) 7:spade: , 6:diamond: , 2:club:
      Turn: ($42.50) 6:heart:
      River: ($42.50) Q:spade: (1 players)

      Final Pot: $42.50

      Any thoughts based on villain's stats?
  • 2 replies
    • dandycal
      Joined: 10.10.2008 Posts: 1,711
      Even though UTG is somewhat loose, his EP raise is bound to be tighter than the avg, and MP3 doesn't look like a loose caller at all, so I don't think your ATo gets enough of an edge against their ranges. Fold pre-flop imo

      For quick squeeze decisions on the spot I like checking the re-raise charts. Against UTG+2 you don't 3 bet ATo even if he is raising 18%, so you can expect to be far behind his range. And even though theCC allows you to go a little looser due to +FE and +pot odds, it sill isn't enough in this case, I believe.
    • burek2000
      Joined: 16.11.2007 Posts: 3,105
      Hey Tim64,

      according to the chart you could push AJo with dead money against UTG2 15PFR player. I think this is very marginal or even -EV, also because MP3 is very tight player, from the stats you can see he doesn't cold call very often, so I would be a little more careful. You could check positional stats of the openraiser in case he isn't much tighter in EP, but does fold often to 3-bet, then squeeze with ATo might be profitable, but according to stats provided that's a fold.