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[NL2-NL10] Nl100 99

    • dandycal
      dandycal
      Bronze
      Joined: 10.10.2008 Posts: 1,711
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $1(BB) Replayer
      SB ($17.50)
      BB ($20)
      UTG ($27.86)
      Hero ($17)
      UTG+2 ($101)
      MP1 ($104)
      CO ($181)
      BTN ($11.28)

      Dealt to Hero 9:diamond: 9:spade:

      fold, Hero raises to $3, fold, fold, CO calls $3, fold, fold, fold

      FLOP ($7.50) J:heart: 7:heart: 5:club:

      Hero bets $4, CO raises to $8, Hero folds




      After reviewing this hand I thought I should have shoved. If he is raising something like QQ-TT, 88-77, 55, AJs+, KJs+, AJo, KQo, I still get 40% EQ which is more than enough for a call. What do you think?
  • 2 replies
    • Gerv
      Gerv
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678
      Board: Jh 7h 5c
      Dead:

      Equity Win Tie Loss Hand
      Player 1: 72,592 % 72,575 % 0,033 % 27,392 % QQ-TT, 88-77, 55, AhKh, AhQh, AhJh, AhTh, Ah9h, KhQh, QhJh, AJo
      Player 2: 27,408 % 27,392 % 0,033 % 72,575 % 99
      You need 32.86% but I dont think he will do it with KQo for example and I didn't included KJo but that makes the situation even worse (24% EQ)

      mathematically speaking you'd have to fold here because your calculation is based on all suits while I included TopPair as in AJ/KJ in the calculation & only the suited combinations

      Best regards,
      Gerv
    • dandycal
      dandycal
      Bronze
      Joined: 10.10.2008 Posts: 1,711
      Oh yeah, I see. Thanks =)