# [NL20-NL50] AK. nl25 sh.

• Bronze
Joined: 17.06.2008
Known players:
Position:
Stack
MP3:
\$28,50
Hero:
\$24,90

0,1/0,25 No-Limit Hold'em (5 handed)
Hand recorder used for this poker hand: PokerStrategy Elephant 0.62 by www.pokerstrategy.com.

Preflop: Hero is BU with A , K
MP3 raises to \$1,00, CO folds, Hero raises to \$3,00, 2 folds, MP3 raises to \$7,00, Hero folds, MP3 gets uncalled bet back..

Final Pot: \$6,35

Few hands before I 3bet him and he fold and he saw me loosing BI one hand before this one. I did some math here and I wonder if its ok.

Proces zakończony... 35 958 384 gier w 0 Sekundy. Equity Wygrana Remis Zagubiona Ręka
Gracz 1: 61,176% 40,496% 41,359% 18,145% QQ+, AKs, AKo
Gracz 2: 38,824% 18,145% 41,359% 40,496% AsKh

EV= 0.38 x (.10 + .25 + 3 + 7 +21) - 0.62 x 21
EV= 11.91 - 13.02
EV=-1.11

I assume I have no fold equity here.
So as I put him on this range, is my fold ok or I'm missing something?
Or maybe I should call as I get 2.75:1 odds so I need at least 26% equity and I have 38%?
• Bronze
Joined: 17.11.2008
Hi,

I see it that way :

You have no fold equity, as he'll probably call off a shove with everything he 4bet with, which means you can consider him all-in. So you're risking 22\$, which you still have to call, to win a total pot of 2*\$25+\$0.35=\$50.35 equity % of the time.

EV = total_pot*equity_hero - bet_to_call
= 50.35*0.38824 - 22
= -2.452116

With your formula (it's the same thing really) you get

EV = equity_hero*current_pot - equity_villain*bet
= 0.38824*28.35 - 0.61176*22
= -2.452116

total_pot : both of your all-in + blinds