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[NL20-NL50] AJ 2pair NL50 SH

    • purplefizz
      Joined: 12.03.2008 Posts: 4,508
      villain 84/11/1.9/47/20

      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.50(BB) Replayer
      BB ($34.09)
      Hero ($61.88)
      UTG ($70.32)
      CO ($50.57)

      Dealt to Hero J:spade: A:diamond:

      Hero raises to $2, fold, fold, BB calls $1.50

      FLOP ($4) 4:diamond: A:spade: 3:spade:

      BB checks, Hero bets $3, BB calls $3

      TURN ($10) 4:diamond: A:spade: 3:spade: J:heart:

      BB checks, Hero bets $7, BB calls $7

      RIVER ($24) 4:diamond: A:spade: 3:spade: J:heart: 7:diamond:

      BB bets $22.09 (AI), Hero ?

      what now?
  • 2 replies
    • MaestroOfZerg
      Joined: 17.11.2008 Posts: 5,510

      Without better reads on his play, now you close your eyes and call, praying he's as nuts as his stats + stack size suggest. :)

      The 7 river completes 65 so it's not the greatest card ever, sets beat you too but are unlikely, and that guy could still have a naked top pair, worse two pairs or some busted draws (flush, wheel gutshots) as he seems overall erratic.

      Hope it helps.
    • TheLastNail
      Joined: 30.05.2008 Posts: 6,038
      it s a close call for me too, although with a timebank/ other read we could fold too, but u would have to rly be pretty certain and from 20 hands its rly tough... but his agression 1.9 rly suggests strength in here, so i wont say its an easy easy call bcs 56 is rly probable the way these passive fish play it..

      i rly dont see too many worse played by such fish this way .. so its deffo close.. flushdraw misses i am not sure how he plays the missed, but yea, top 2p proly just a bit too strong to fold in here