[NL20-NL50] KTo BU - air

    • TheBrood
      TheBrood
      Bronze
      Joined: 17.07.2008 Posts: 4,383
      Known players:
      Position:
      Stack
      MP2:
      $60.44
      MP3:
      $11.77
      Hero:
      $50.00

      0.25/0.5 No-Limit Hold'em (8 handed)
      Hand recorder used for this poker hand: PokerStrategy Elephant 0.67 by www.pokerstrategy.com.

      Preflop: Hero is BU with K:club: , T:spade:
      2 folds, MP2 calls $0.50, MP3 calls $0.50, CO folds, Hero raises to $3.00, 2 folds, MP2 calls $2.50, MP3 folds.

      Flop: ($7.25) 4:club: , 7:heart: , 2:club: (2 players)
      MP2 checks, Hero bets $4.50, MP2 calls $4.50.

      Turn: ($16.25) 9:heart: (2 players)
      MP2 checks, Hero checks.

      River: ($16.25) 9:spade: (2 players)
      MP2 bets $4.06, Hero folds.

      Final Pot: $20.31

      I shouldnt cbet vs station, but how else am I going to win if I don't bet?
  • 3 replies
    • MaestroOfZerg
      MaestroOfZerg
      Bronze
      Joined: 17.11.2008 Posts: 5,510
      Hi,


      You probably aren't going to win the pot indeed, but he'll probably let you check down K-high which has decent showdown value against him. Even if he doesn't, like you said yourself, you can't make him fold anything, so it's likely better not to dump even more money into him.


      Hope it helps.
    • TheBrood
      TheBrood
      Bronze
      Joined: 17.07.2008 Posts: 4,383
      So its c/f all the way?
    • MaestroOfZerg
      MaestroOfZerg
      Bronze
      Joined: 17.11.2008 Posts: 5,510
      Hi,


      It depends a lot on your opponent, some players will peel until they see the whole board then fold to a river bet every single time when they still have nothing, which means stabbing there will have a high success percentage. Others will have stats like 15% fold to flop bet 85% fold to turn bet, which means it's hugely profitable tho counter-intuitive to fire twice into them.

      The point is, you can't one street bluff most of these guys on the flop, as it will take multiple streets to even get them of overcards. And without reads, it's just not very efficient to fire into them. Let the others try and take the pots away, and monitor this guy's tendencies to spot on which textures he folds and how many bets he calls with stuff like middle pair. Then you can try and take him off something yourself with that information.


      Hope it helps.