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[NL20-NL50] 25NL FR JTo CO

    • Gerv
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678
      No-Limit Hold'em, $0.25 BB (8 handed) - Hold'em Manager Converter Tool from

      saw flop

      MP2 ($9.25)
      Gerv (CO) ($25)
      Button ($18.92)
      SB ($12.77)
      BB ($19.75)
      21/8, 25 hands - 3bet 20% (10 trials) , WTSD 29% (7)
      UTG ($5)
      UTG+1 ($6.39)
      MP1 ($9.75)

      Preflop: Gerv is CO with 10, J
      3 folds, MP2 calls $0.25, Gerv bets $1.10, 2 folds, BB raises $1.70, 1 fold, Gerv calls $0.85

      Flop: ($4.25) 7, 4, K (2 players)
      BB checks, Gerv checks

      Turn: ($4.25) 10 (2 players)
      BB bets $1.75, Gerv calls $1.75

      River: ($7.75) 6 (2 players)
      BB bets $3, Gerv calls $3

      I call the Turn to see what he does on the River but as he bets 35% of the pot, should I muck here? Or should I have mucked JTo already on the Turn?
  • 1 reply
    • MaestroOfZerg
      Joined: 17.11.2008 Posts: 5,510

      I'd likely just take a stab on the flop when he checks to me with J-high, and that will likely be all the money i'll put in this pot if i get called unless i turn a Q. That way i'll also figure out if a check from him on usual c-bet boards is strong or weak, and won't need to make guesses on later streets.

      As played calling his weak turn stab is fine you could be ahead. On the river i don't think he's stabbing with air anymore, he probably has either Tx, JJ-QQ or a weak Kx that he is valuebetting smallish. Given the price i would probably look it up to figure out what he's doing so i can put a "check/bet weak when strong" type of note on him and get his stack in the next 10mins (if he shows me AK and then pots another K-high flop into me he likely has air, etc), but folding is also ok since you're rarely ahead imo.

      Hope it helps.