[NL20-NL50] nl50 sh KJ

    • BloodyB
      Joined: 11.05.2008 Posts: 1,113
      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      Play hand

      $0.25/$0.5 No-Limit Hold'em (6 handed)

      Known players:

      Preflop: Hero is MP3 with J, K.
      MP2 raises to $1.50, Hero raises to $5.50, CO folds, BU calls $5.50, 2 folds, MP2 calls $4.00.

      Flop: ($17.25) K, K, 7 (3 players)
      MP2 checks, Hero checks, BU checks.

      Turn: ($17.25) T (3 players)
      MP2 bets $11.00, Hero calls $11.00, BU folds.

      River: ($39.25) 6 (2 players)
      MP2 bets $12.00, Hero raises to $62.75(All-In), MP2 calls $23.25(All-In).

      Final Pot: $137.25.

      V: 24/18/1,3/26 211h
  • 1 reply
    • MaestroOfZerg
      Joined: 17.11.2008 Posts: 5,510

      I don't see that guy leading the turn with anything less than QQ, and even that is a big stretch for nl50 players. Next suspect is AA if he even flatted that preflop, and after that there's TT/KQ+ only.

      You'd bet that flop with air, MP2 likely knows that, and when he leads into two players knowing the pfa has showdown value, he'll be betting for value himself and have AA/KQ+/TT in my opinion the vast majority of the time. Ranges just aren't wide enough for players at nl50 to show up with lots of trash there and make a move on you out of position three-way, 95% of the tags are postflop nits, this is purely a value bet on his part.

      Knowing that, the fact that he bets the river so small makes me think "value bet" even more, your hand looks like JJ-QQ, and JJ-QQ might call $12 into $39. I'd just call myself as played, it's weak but frankly people just overestimate the looseness of most tags. A shove only targets AA which he doesn't have that often to begin with, all other worse hands are folding no matter how funky your line looks.

      Hope it helps.