[NL2-NL10] NL50: Top2 vs flop raise

    • klonoa
      klonoa
      Bronze
      Joined: 14.01.2007 Posts: 124
      Known players: (for a description of vp$ip, pfr, ats, folded bb, af, wts, wsd or hands click here)
      MP3:
      $55.91
      BU:
      $49.25
      BB:
      $166.16
      Hero:
      $62.35
      CO:
      $107.70
      SB:
      $46.35

      0.25/0.50 No-Limit Hold'em (6 handed)
      Hand recorder used for this poker hand: Texas Grabem 1.7 by www.pokerstrategy.cc.

      Preflop: Hero is MP2 with T:heart: , J:heart:
      Hero raises to $2.00, MP3 folds, CO calls $2.00, 2 folds, BB calls $1.50.

      Flop: ($6.25) 3:club: , J:club: , T:diamond: (3 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $4.50, CO raises to $12.00, BB folds, Hero ??

      how to proceed
  • 5 replies
    • boschman123
      boschman123
      Bronze
      Joined: 19.04.2006 Posts: 1,215
      im doing this by head AND i just got out of bed, so my answer will probely wrong, but i give it a shot.

      preflop there is $6.25 in the pot.
      u have 2p but there is a flushdraw so a $4.50 bet is to small, u must protect ur hand a little more. a bet just under potsize would be better.
      after the flop bet and raise the pot is $22.70, u have to pay $7.50 to see if u hit a J or T. a little more then 3:1. since there are 4 cards out there that will make u happy, mathematicly u should fold.

      there are a lot of hands he can have. since i dont have any stats of CO i cant consider the possibility of him having a draw. on this board he would not slowplay a set and even ATc comes into my mind. i have never played shorthanded. isnt ATs a raise from the CO?
    • undercover82
      undercover82
      Bronze
      Joined: 09.12.2006 Posts: 813
      imo on the flop against his hand range you are only behind to a set of 3s and you are 50% vs a OESD/Flush draw. I would rereraise him especially if my stats said he is rather loose and aggresive.
    • klonoa
      klonoa
      Bronze
      Joined: 14.01.2007 Posts: 124
      too bad i dont got any PT stats on him so im gonna assume hes just a average player on NL50. hand range assigned to him:

      33, JJ, TT, QQ+, AcXc, 98, KQ, Q9, AJ, JT

      i played around with pokerstove and got this

      Board: 3c Jc Td
      Dead:

      equity win tie pots won pots tied
      Hand 0: 64.908% 62.64% 02.27% 53950 1955.00 { JhTh }
      Hand 1: 35.092% 32.82% 02.27% 28270 1955.00 { QQ+, JdJs, TdTs, 3d3h, 3d3s, 3h3s, AcKc, AcQc, AdJd, AsJs, AcTc, Ac9c, Ac8c, KQs, Q9s, JTs, 98s, AcJd, AcJs, AdJs, AhJd, AhJs, AsJd, KQo, Q9o, JTo, 98o }

      so i am favourite vs his range, reraising = right play?
    • Sleyde
      Sleyde
      Black
      Joined: 15.01.2005 Posts: 17,714
      yes, reraising is the right play. you can actually push it on the flop or against an very aggressive player, call the flop and wait until he fires the turn again and then push assuming there will be a blank on the turn. with a card completing the flushdraw you should probably just call.
    • Dax
      Dax
      Bronze
      Joined: 29.01.2007 Posts: 3
      Originally posted by boschman123
      preflop there is $6.25 in the pot.
      u have 2p but there is a flushdraw so a $4.50 bet is to small, u must protect ur hand a little more. a bet just under potsize would be better.
      Wouldn't even a half pot size bet do it against a flushdraw? 4 to 1 pot odds against 5 to 1 draw. 3/4 of the pot should be fine here as he did.