[NL20-NL50] NL25sh - 88, ok bluff?

    • PetterG2
      Joined: 12.10.2008 Posts: 224
      Known players:

      0,1/0,25 No-Limit Hold'em (6 handed)
      Hand recorder used for this poker hand: Elephant 0.68 by www.pokerstrategy.com.

      Preflop: Hero is MP3 with 8:heart: , 8:club:
      MP2 folds, Hero raises to $1,00, CO folds, BU calls $1,00, 2 folds.

      Flop: ($2,35) 2:heart: , 4:spade: , 5:club: (2 players)
      Hero bets $1,50, BU calls $1,50.

      Turn: ($5,35) 9:spade: (2 players)
      Hero checks, BU bets $3,75, Hero calls $3,75.

      River: ($12,85) 6:spade: (2 players)
      Hero checks, BU bets $6,00, Hero raises to $21,64 (All-In)

      I didn't have any stats on him at the time, but from what I'd seen he was a decent player. I had see him float a lowcard board before which is why I called turn. My plan was to c/f river, but when the weakish halfpot bet came I just couldn't help myself. Ok spot to bluff?
  • 3 replies
    • mozartiano
      Joined: 01.02.2009 Posts: 35
      Looks that you're running into a strong preflop hand.

      JJ is my guess.

      Your perceived hand in the flop is also too high, QQ - KK - AA.

      But after you check the turn, it's more like 9T, 88-TT.

      I'd folded on river. The only chance I could be afraid of you was a check raise in turn.

    • Diedobal
      Joined: 07.10.2007 Posts: 558
      Potcontrol & disguising hand on turn is fine. River cards sucks and I would muck as we only beat total bluffs, which happen very rarely on such low boards.
    • MaestroOfZerg
      Joined: 17.11.2008 Posts: 5,510

      It's probably not horrible if your goal is to confuse him, but i don't really see what he'll fold in that spot.

      You decide to c/c the turn because you think he's floating, and then he bets half pot on the river. It's either a value bet or a cheap steal. If it's a cheap steal then just call and see if you're right, by raising you're bluffing him off the worse hand. If it's a value bet it probably comes from a hand strong enough that he will find a call against your funky line with those odds, he MIGHT fold TT if he's a bit scared but he'll probably call with anything better just because your play is intriguing, tags expect you to just barrel the 3 streets with something better than an overpair.

      Hope it helps.