Is this a good or a bad fold?

    • Fonyman
      Fonyman
      Bronze
      Joined: 18.07.2009 Posts: 55
      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      Play hand

      $0.02/$0.05 No-Limit Hold'em (9 handed)

      Known players:
      SB:
      $7.90
      BB:
      $3.10
      UTG2:
      $9.56
      MP1:
      $5.07
      MP2(Hero):
      $10.18
      MP3:
      $4.70
      CO:
      $5.47
      BU:
      $5.00


      Preflop: Hero is MP2 with K, K.
      UTG2 calls $0.05, MP1 folds, Hero raises to $0.25, MP3 folds, CO calls $0.25, 3 folds, UTG2 calls $0.20.

      Flop: ($0.82) A, T, J (4 players)
      UTG2 checks, Hero bets $0.65, CO folds, UTG2 calls $0.65.

      Turn: ($2.12) 9 (3 players)
      UTG2 checks, Hero checks.

      River: ($2.12) 9 (3 players)
      UTG2 bets $2.12, Hero folds.

      Final Pot: $4.24.
  • 5 replies
    • Toluvel
      Toluvel
      Gold
      Joined: 27.12.2007 Posts: 1,039
      I'd say good fold, there are lots of hands that beat you
    • lozz08
      lozz08
      Bronze
      Joined: 26.06.2009 Posts: 106
      Well I have limited knowledge of equity and all that but I mean, he's got 3 big hands to beat you woth there, the ace, the nine, the flush. I think you can rule out the nine its just too unlikely, the flush maybe, but I think the ace is really likely.
    • Smileyphil
      Smileyphil
      Bronze
      Joined: 28.10.2008 Posts: 488
      A little approach to the equity for those interested.

      On the river you have to call a bet of $2.12 in order to win $6.36 ($2.12 in the pot + his bet + your bet).

      So your pot odds are $2.12/$6.36 = 1/3.

      This means in lay terms that you have to be ahead 1/3 of the time to make this call.

      You are essentially only ahead of a bluff at this point. So whether it is a good fold depends on how often you think your opponent will bluff.

      I think its the right fold. It looks to me like he probably flushed and then tried to get some value for it.
    • Octhellior
      Octhellior
      Bronze
      Joined: 06.10.2008 Posts: 108
      He probably had an ace and the river scared him so he potted. Good fold imo.
    • cactusbob
      cactusbob
      Bronze
      Joined: 23.07.2009 Posts: 24
      Easy fold. You don't beat anything.