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[NL20-NL50] Nl50Sh Tt #2

    • StraightGinn
      Joined: 19.10.2008 Posts: 913
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.50(BB) Replayer
      SB ($50.80)
      BB ($53.75)
      UTG ($20.13)
      UTG+1 ($42.21)
      Hero ($50.75)
      BTN ($69.49)

      Dealt to Hero T:diamond: T:heart:

      fold, fold, Hero raises to $2, fold, SB raises to $7, fold, Hero calls $5

      FLOP ($14.50) 2:club: K:diamond: 6:heart:

      SB bets $8, Hero calls $8

      TURN ($30.50) 2:club: K:diamond: 6:heart: 6:club:

      SB checks, Hero checks

      RIVER ($30.50) 2:club: K:diamond: 6:heart: 6:club: A:spade:

      SB bets $13, Hero folds

      SB wins $28.98

      17 / 15 (41)
  • 1 reply
    • MaestroOfZerg
      Joined: 17.11.2008 Posts: 5,510

      His river bet is either a well sized valuebet targeting your hand that is face up, or another shot at bluffing you off with air once the A hits. Knowing how often he 3bets would help of course, the more he only has premiums when he does the less you wanna call, the more trash he 3bets the more you wanna call.

      Only thing that bothers me is what Ax other than AK he shows up with there, 17/15 shouldn't 3bet that many Ax preflop. Maybe he has AK and figured you'd pay off a river bet more than a turn bet, or the sample size is way too small and he has more Ax in his range.

      I'd tend to think that a 17/15 at nl50 is more likely to have just binked an A in that spot, his bet sizing really looks like he wants a call. Plus, good players might also do that with JJ-QQ so i'm less inclined to try and catch a bluff with TT there.

      Hope it helps.