What NOT to do in Bubble

    • Anssi
      Anssi
      Black
      Joined: 03.07.2008 Posts: 2,173
      Poker Stars $55+$5 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t300/t600 Blinds + t50 - 4 players - View hand 233206
      The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter

      BB: t3260 M = 2.96
      CO: t190 M = 0.17
      BTN: t2890 M = 2.63
      Hero (SB): t7160 M = 6.51

      Pre Flop: (t1100) Hero is SB Any two cards:
      1 fold, BTN raises to t1200, Hero raises to t7110 all in, 2 folds


      Please, never be that guy.
  • 6 replies
    • justkyle88
      justkyle88
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 7,598
      button or you?
    • Anssi
      Anssi
      Black
      Joined: 03.07.2008 Posts: 2,173
      I'll leave that up for you to decide :) .
    • justkyle88
      justkyle88
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 7,598
      Originally posted by Anssi
      I'll leave that up for you to decide :) .
      BU ;)
      But why do u shove?
    • viewer88
      viewer88
      Bronze
      Joined: 19.04.2008 Posts: 5,545
      I shoved ATC vs a raise 3 times yesterday vs same guy... 3rd time he called with A3o and lost :f_love:
    • Anssi
      Anssi
      Black
      Joined: 03.07.2008 Posts: 2,173
      Because button can't call me (Well, I guess he can call me with somewhat looser now that he has involved large part of his stack) because he has such a huge bubble factor. CO is very likely to bust out in next 2 hands as the blinds hit him so Button is almost 100% certain to cash. But if he now clash with me:

      If he loses, he gets 0%.
      If he wins, his stack is still only worth ~35-40% of total prize pool. (I don't want to bother with the exact math here, so the numbers are just approximations)

      If he just folds, he is guaranteed 20% of prize pool and also has a shot at first and second place, so his stack is worth ~28-30% here.

      So basically he has to have about 75-80% equity for his hand to clash with other big stack here which means AA only (and here also some other hands because he has already commited part of his stack).


      Hmm, pretty long and confusing post. Well, I'll still post it.

      Oh, another thing. It's not that bad for Button to go all-in there, because then I can no longer push him out of pot. But making idiotic bet like that when I can force him out of the pot is a huge mistake.
    • justkyle88
      justkyle88
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 7,598
      oh ok, i understand. thanks.
      I didn't even look at CO, but makes perfect sense.