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[NL20-NL50] NL25 FR, KJo

    • jenoc
      Joined: 06.04.2008 Posts: 510
      Villain is 16/12 AF=1.5 Foldtocbet=44% WtSD=31% on 713 hands

      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.25(BB) Replayer
      SB ($8.19)
      BB ($25)
      UTG ($8.75)
      UTG+1 ($7.12)
      UTG+2 ($38.09)
      CO ($25.44)
      Hero ($30.97)

      Dealt to Hero J:club: K:spade:

      fold, fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to $0.85, fold, BB calls $0.60

      FLOP ($1.80) 7:diamond: 8:spade: J:diamond:

      BB checks, Hero bets $1.30, BB calls $1.30

      TURN ($4.40) 7:diamond: 8:spade: J:diamond: A:club:

      BB checks, Hero bets $2.80, BB folds

      Turn is a bet/fold here?
  • 1 reply
    • MaestroOfZerg
      Joined: 17.11.2008 Posts: 5,510

      His AF is somewhat low for a 16/12, it's possible he doesn't raise draws very often on the flop but he also won't raise them on the turn. He should however raise two pairs/sets on the flop.

      So really the strongest hand he could have there would be Ax with a flushdraw that he likely won't raise since he's likely ahead at that point, or AJ exactly when he raises. So yeah i'm bet/folding, but that won't happen often.

      Hope it helps.