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[NL2-NL10] NL50 AQo in mp1

    • Tim64
      Joined: 02.11.2008 Posts: 8,029
      Known players:

      0.25/0.5 No-Limit Hold'em (10 handed)
      Hand recorder used for this poker hand: PokerStrategy Elephant 0.67 by

      Preflop: Hero is MP1 with A:heart: , Q:spade:
      UTG calls $0.50, 2 folds, Hero raises to $2.50, 6 folds, UTG calls $2.00.

      Flop: ($5.75) 9:club: , 8:heart: , 9:diamond: (2 players)
      UTG bets $5.75, Hero raises to $6.75 (All-In), UTG calls $1.00.

      Turn: ($19.25) K:diamond:
      River: ($19.25) 5:heart: (1 players)

      Final Pot: $19.25

      Villain is fishy character that buys in for 60BB and I had seen him open pushing or pushing after one limper (in one case with AQ) preflop. I therefore see him limpcalling with a lot of worse hands and do not think this is a board that hits him so often. I get my necessary 37.5% equity against oesds and pocket pairs other than 88 and 99, so is my push alright with my reads?
  • 3 replies
    • Gonzo394
      Joined: 29.12.2007 Posts: 2,181
      close decision, but i would push, too.

      that's because i would assume that an unknown villain would c/r with anything better than 22-77 (or an OESD).
    • DaPhunk
      Joined: 01.03.2008 Posts: 2,805
      I would like to see villains donkbet% stat but I think I also push. There is not so much value for him in donkbetting over C/Calling to your *inevitable* cbet. Its often a bluff or at best low PP. If its not note him for future reference.
    • burek2000
      Joined: 16.11.2007 Posts: 3,107
      Hey Tim64,

      I might be too weak, but I would fold to this donk bet as I find 21 hands too small sample size to make such decisions and can lead to high variance.

      However, going broke is probably not a mistake here as at least your overcard outs should be clean. But it's mandatory then to make a note of his play though.