[NL2-NL10] AK nl200

    • Aimboy
      Aimboy
      Bronze
      Joined: 03.06.2008 Posts: 11,940
      PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $2.00 BB (8 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

      saw flop

      Button ($226.30)
      SB ($66.40)
      BB ($94.10)
      UTG ($46)
      UTG+1 ($285.35)
      MP1 ($54.95)
      Hero (MP2) ($44)
      CO ($40)

      Preflop: Hero is MP2 with A, K
      2 folds, MP1 calls $2, Hero bets $9, 4 folds, MP1 calls $7

      Flop: ($21) 2, Q, Q (2 players)
      MP1 checks, Hero bets $12, MP1 raises to $24, Hero raises to $35 (All-In), MP1 calls $11

      Turn: ($91) A (2 players, 1 all-in)

      River: ($91) 4 (2 players, 1 all-in)

      Total pot: $91 | Rake: $3

      26/1, fold cbet flop 29, raise cb flop 14, 100 hands. Easy?
  • 5 replies
    • dandycal
      dandycal
      Bronze
      Joined: 10.10.2008 Posts: 1,711
      If we think this guy can ch/raise bluffs here, then a bet/call is a must , but your equity gets really low against PPs, a Q and FDs, about 22%.. I'm not sure what to think of this guy though, he doesn't seem like an aggressive type at all.
    • Aimboy
      Aimboy
      Bronze
      Joined: 03.06.2008 Posts: 11,940
      What I think is that he folds to flop cbet rarely, so on a paired board & opponent with cbet flop = over 90% is a perfect spot to raise my cbet. I know that my equity sux against pocket pairs I felt I have a better hand here.
    • dandycal
      dandycal
      Bronze
      Joined: 10.10.2008 Posts: 1,711
      Yeah, I think it's a rather tough spot. If you had a bck FD at least, I think it would be an easier decision.

      An alternative option would be to delay cb hoping to catch A,K,J or T on the Turn but giving up the hand other wise... though I don't think it helps us out much cause we'd not get paid on an A or K and we'd probably not get much more FE on T or J.
    • RahXephon1
      RahXephon1
      Bronze
      Joined: 14.04.2009 Posts: 972
      After the hands you have on him the only thing that's sure is that he's extremely passive preflop so all the monsters are in his range. The fold to cbet stat is not accurate in this sample, it only says that he's able to fold sometimes. The board is very dry with just the flush draw. I don't think he's doing that raise with many worse hands so I play b/f on the flop.
    • Gerv
      Gerv
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678
      I don't like calling the minraise looking from AK vs a PP perspective.

      If you do not got the necessary equity against a random PP, then folding is imo better since you still have to discount outs against a possible FD.

      Ingol says shove which also have its arguments for it.

      - Gerv