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[NL20-NL50] NL25 FR, 99 set

    • jenoc
      Joined: 06.04.2008 Posts: 510
      Villain 32/12 AF= 2.3 FlopCbet=67 WtSD=24% on 1.1k hands

      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.25(BB) Replayer
      SB ($34.49)
      BB ($25)
      UTG ($4.65)
      UTG+1 ($5)
      UTG+2 ($17.44)
      MP1 ($25.02)
      MP2 ($4.40)
      Hero ($30.52)
      BTN ($5.43)

      Dealt to Hero 9:heart: 9:diamond:

      fold, fold, UTG+2 raises to $1, fold, fold, Hero calls $1, fold, fold, fold

      FLOP ($2.35) 3:diamond: 5:heart: 9:spade:

      UTG+2 checks, Hero checks

      TURN ($2.35) 3:diamond: 5:heart: 9:spade: A:heart:

      UTG+2 bets $1, Hero raises to $3, UTG+2 folds

      His flopcbet isn't that high + it's likely that he checked with OC's and now could hit his A so I decided to raise turn. Would it be better to call turn? However I doubt he will bluff river again.
  • 1 reply
    • MaestroOfZerg
      Joined: 17.11.2008 Posts: 5,510

      I think checking back the flop is fine given that you have the deck crushed with top set on that board so letting him catchup is a good idea.

      On the turn since his bet looks so weak i don't expect him to fire again so i'd probably raise too, the times he does have Ax and calls will trump the very few times where he'll follow up with a bluff in the long run.

      Hope it helps.