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[NL2-NL10] Nl1k - JJ, Ace on the flop

    • IamPoZ
      IamPoZ
      Bronze
      Joined: 19.05.2007 Posts: 10,747
      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      Replay della mano

      $5/$10 No-Limit Hold'em (9 handed)

      Known players:
      MP1:
      $309.00
      MP2:
      $1464.50
      MP3(Hero):
      $212.00
      CO:
      $498.20
      BU:
      $170.00
      SB:
      $839.00
      BB:
      $1366.40
      UTG2:
      $351.75


      Preflop: Hero is MP3 with J, J.
      3 folds, Hero raises to $30.00, CO calls $30.00, 3 folds.

      Flop: ($75) A, 7, 5 (3 players)
      Hero bets $45.00, CO calls $45.00.

      Turn: ($165) 8 (3 players)

      Hero??

      Final Pot: $255.

      CO 47/22 AF 2.0 WTS 26% W@SD 44% Hands 200
  • 8 replies
    • thcidale
      thcidale
      Bronze
      Joined: 31.07.2009 Posts: 279
      i have the same problem... against unknow and very loose players who call me IP against a Aboard...
      xarry where are you now? hehe
    • drachdudek
      drachdudek
      Bronze
      Joined: 06.11.2007 Posts: 656
      with such stats, i would bet he had Ax...as played, i think the second shoot or push is useless, i would C/F till the end...
    • dandycal
      dandycal
      Bronze
      Joined: 10.10.2008 Posts: 1,711
      It's very possible that he's holding an A here, the board is rather dry, so I also prefer a ch/f after he calls you on the flop. If we had more info on him we could consider other moves I think, but in this case I don't see many other possibilities.
    • RahXephon1
      RahXephon1
      Bronze
      Joined: 14.04.2009 Posts: 972
      Could it be possible to control the potsize on the flop and don't bet? As the board is very dry. I don't like to turn our hand into a bluff that way since villain range is so wide.
    • IamPoZ
      IamPoZ
      Bronze
      Joined: 19.05.2007 Posts: 10,747
      Originally posted by RahXephon1
      Could it be possible to control the potsize on the flop and don't bet? As the board is very dry. I don't like to turn our hand into a bluff that way since villain range is so wide.
      that's a good point, but we are oop then it's quite difficoult

      I forgot to say he barely never folds to cbet
      Fold Cbet 38 (15 raise, 20 c/r)

      200 hands are not enough to evaluate his range and IMO his WTS/W@SD are not reliable.

      Do you think he's able to float us on the turn?
      Then check/call (since he's very aggressive on turn) can be an option (maybe better with a K or Q on the flop).
    • dandycal
      dandycal
      Bronze
      Joined: 10.10.2008 Posts: 1,711
      I think his WTS is more reliable than the Fold Cbet%. A ch/C on the turn doesn't make much sense I think cause you'll be committed, so you'd have to ch/R him. With the small sample I really feel I lack the info to decide whether he'd float you with trash or not... I think about 1/3 of his PF calling range has you beat, which doesn't look so good, so I'd rather ch/f. BUt maybe that's too weak, I wanna hear what the judges have to say =D.
    • IamPoZ
      IamPoZ
      Bronze
      Joined: 19.05.2007 Posts: 10,747
      Just to point out that check/call means check/call all-in ;)
    • ysessa
      ysessa
      Basic
      Joined: 11.07.2008 Posts: 1,331
      since he is a fish we dont have to balance and with 47/22 and an af of 2.0 he is pretty aggressive so i would just c/c flop c/c turn to induce some bluffs, you can also consider this against regs because your range absolutely crushs this board.. your cbet is normally waisted money.